Happening: Nova Kakhovka dam hit! Tactical implications?

What will this flood?
What are the tactical advantages to either side?
Who hit it or was it an accident?
t. geographylet

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  1. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    The river Ukraine has to cross got a bit wider. If they were going to cross over there anyways

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      This is going to sound moronic, but what if they're doing it to disrupt defensive positions on the other side of the river so they can send small boats in? Think pic related.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        That would be kino as frick

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        NATO has secretly been training the Ukrainian brown water fleet.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      There were some crossings reported near Kherson earlier. If this is real, maybe Russia did it to make it harder to establish a bridgehead? Though, this is the reservoir that supplies fresh water to Crimea isn't it?

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        isnt that the dam that provides fresh water to Crimea?

        Crimea received about 80% of fresh resources from the Dnieper water supplied through the North Crimean Canal

  2. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Russians are claiming this so I fricking doubt it.

  3. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    The source for this is like one telegram message so I doubt it happened

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      I STAND CORRECTED
      https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1665905176140554243?s=20

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        It should have gotten to Kherson by now right? It's only 40miles away..... i'd think we'd get something out of Kherson by now.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Its definitely the dam i even went and looked myself everything adds up. Absolutely insane

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Water follows the path of least resistance. The left bank is lower, Kherson itself wouldn't see much.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Who actually profits from it?
        Russian defenses on the east bank get swept away?
        Ukrainian beachheads get swapped away?
        Zapo NPP gets less coolant?
        Crimea gets less fresh water?
        WHO ACTUALLY GETS A TACTICAL ADVANTAGE??

        Has flooding ever been used for offensive actions?
        I think it’s the Russians using this, flooding must be defensive.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Russia would never do this simply because it fricks Crimeas water supply which was a huge part of why the war was fought in the first place. Ukies get the advantage of russians scrambling around trying to save themselves from drowning since they will be the ones more effected by this and they can also get great optics from this by saying Russia did it

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            This works off the assumption that Russia thinks it can hold Crimea.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              If Russia didn't think that, they wouldn't still be going on offensives.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            >which was a huge part of why the war was fought in the first place.

            Yes, like demilitarizing Ukraine and stopping NATO expansion. The stated reasons for this war by Putin/Russia are all fake. Don't know why people still assume Russians to state the truth or behave like rational actors. Besides, buying some desalination plants is a shitload cheaper than stsrting a war, no matter how quick you think you will win it.

            Putin simply wanted to go down in history as one of the Greats. Russians wanted to destroy their neighboring inferior "little brothers", to make an example to the U.S. and other wayward subjects, as well as punish Ukrainians for daring to leave the Russian empire.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            I'm pretty sure Crimea hasn't been receiving water since last year

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >Has flooding ever been used for offensive actions?
          Battle of Xiapi
          Takamatsu Castle
          Oshi Castle

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Any non siege modern western example?
            Might as well post the battle of Isengard


            Omg the Ukies blew it to emulate the battle of isengard and flooding orc trenches, didn’t they?

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              Why don't you study WW1, moron.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Ah yes the famous dam bustings of WW1 used for big offensive movements, you fricking double Black person

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_the_Yser

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                On 25 October, the German pressure on the Belgians was so great that a decision was taken to inundate the Belgian front line. After an abortive attempt on 21 October, the Belgians managed to open the sluices at Nieuwpoort during the nights of 26–30 October, during high tides, steadily raising the water level until an impassable flooded area was created of about one mi (2 km) wide, stretching as far south as Diksmuide.

                Not offensively you functionally illiterate troglodyte

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous
              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                The goal was always offensive use of flooding.

                https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Chastise
                comes closest but even in that context it makes more sense for the Russians to do it

                And the Germans retreated because the flooding was BEHIND THEM and if the Allies attacked they would be trapped

                Also supports the notion that the Russians did it

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                And the Germans retreated because the flooding was BEHIND THEM and if the Allies attacked they would be trapped

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              The more modern example would be the Sino-Jap conflict of which the Chinese blew the levees on yellow river and killed almost a million of their own people just to stop Japanese offensive.
              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1938_Yellow_River_flood

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Yes, which also is a defensive action, I was asking for examples where it was used offensively.
                I know the brits busted dams in WW2 to frick with German electricity production but not to prepare for offensive movements

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              WW2 dam busters

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Ah a fellow musou enjoyer

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Russia would rather turn Crimea into an island wasteland than risk Ukraine taking it.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          It will make crossing the river harder, but the Ukies simply do not have the capabilities to actually do that in force anyway.
          I mean, we call it a river but look at it. Crossing that is pretty close to am amphibious landing operation, and then you're stuck with pontoon bridges that connnect to a few known crossing points.

          I mean OK the Germans did it in WW2 so it's obviously possible, and apparently the Russians do worry about it to some degree because they did put up defenses on their side..

          All in all I'D say it'S a tactical advantage for the Russians becasue tehy are on teh defensive and this mkaes attacking across teh river more difficult.
          And in the long run it fricks over Crimea's agriculture some more. Also, it cuts the water supply that keeps the nuclear power plant cooled.
          Both of which Russia curretnly controls. So unless Russia likes damaging their own stuff, the conclusion here would be that they expect to not control Crimean agriculture and the power plant at some point in the future.
          Welp.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >Has flooding ever been used for offensive actions?
          617 Squadron would like a frickin' word m8

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Some important context is the scale of this dam's reservoir: 15+ cubic kilometers versus 10 currently stored in Lake Meade (Hoover Dam) versus 0.135 + 0.199 cubic kilometers released by Operation Chastise.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          honestly no idea. both sides are quite incompetent at times.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          It's entire possible that the dam simply gave out on its own, it took several hits during the kherson offensive and I dont see either side having a good reason to blow it now
          Maybe the stress from thermal expansion due to rising temperatures pushed it over the edge or something

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            No way this is a coincidence, just as the Ukranian offensive seems to be kicking off.

            On 2ch (Russian PrepHole) 9/10 think it was the Russians and are gloating about how clever a move it was.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              Wasn't the general consensus that the Ukrainians were going to be most likely attacking from up north down towards Melitopol/Mariupol? Blowing the dam up seems like something that would cause more problems than it would prevent.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                It allows Russians to concentrate their forces on the defence. Now they don't have to watch the Kherson flank at all, and if they need to retreat toward Crimea their flank will be covered as they go.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            >https://cornucopia.se/2022/10/worst-case-modelling-for-nova-kakhovka-dam-break/
            this website is saying it'd take one of the largest non-nuclear explosions to blow it

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              The entire dam had to have been literally packed with explosives to do that level of damage. You can see the center of the dam has disappeared entirely as the water rushing out is completely smooth and free of ripples because there's literally no structure left to make the water turbulent.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Yeah, the ukranians are actual terrorists for doing this

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                >The entire dam had to have been literally packed with explosives to do that level of damage.
                Okay in that case who was in control of the dam? That must have been the one who did it, as the other wouldn't have had the capacity.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Russia controlled the pump houses, which are pretty fricked.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >Has flooding ever been used for offensive actions?
          Yeah, WW3

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          This is at best a wash, or tie goes to the side that doesn't intend to hold the area.

          If this was the Russians, I can see this working to their advantage in Zaporizhia, but I don't get it for Crimea. I wonder if the Russians tried to catch Ukrainains crossing downriver.

          the left side of the kherson river will become utterly impassible for a long while, even with bridging equipment. It was swampy before, now it will be a shallow river delta.

          the potentiality of a nuclear disaster in the south is as "salt the earth in retreat" as it gets.

          Any occupation on the sea of Azov coastline would be attrited down due to no safe permanent defensive lines,
          supply lines would have to extend through or around the region, without smaller local storage.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            As I understand it, there is no real potentiality for a nuclear disaster. This is a panic move by the Russians to prevent a possible crossing so they can concentrate their forces north and east, and maybe cover their retreat into Crimea if necessary. It also shows that they seem to have no intention of holding on to that territory very long either, since long-term blowing the dam fricks them.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              I believe you're correct. The ZPP reservoir is upstream, 140 km to the northwest.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                It's the same reservoir

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                This is the lowest of six dams on that stretch of the Dnipro; I believe the ZNPP is fed by a closer one.
                If not do you think Putin was trying for a "golly, the nuclear plant is in danger, I guess NATO will need to broker a cease-fire for me"?

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Go look at Google Earth. There's nothing between Nova Kakhova and Zaporizhzhya NPP.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Me, I profit from it.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Huh. I really didn’t expect the dam to get blown. Seems bad for both sides of the river?

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >Huh. I really didn’t expect the dam to get blown. Seems bad for both sides of the river?

          I remember like a year ago or 6 months ago Ukies were terrified of this happening. Then I kinda forgot about it.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        That's a big frickin hole, and a god damn shitload of water. What could have done this? Neither side has missiles big enough, I doubt aircraft can get close. SOF planting charges?

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          You don't need a lot to do a lot. You're forgetting that every dam ever made suffers from extreme pressure on one side, and always has to deal with fissures in the cement. If you can just compromise the structure enough, mother nature will take care of the rest and destroy the dam. That's why people talk about destroying the 3 Gorges with just conventional JDAMs. Nukes wouldn't be needed because the insane water pressure would take care of the hard part.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        The fact that the water pouring out is entering laminar flow has to mean that there's literally nothing left of the dam structure to make it turbulent in that area. That wall is GONE.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          And that it's moving incredibly fast. Jesus the amount of water and the forces involved is really something to behold.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Russians are claiming this so I fricking doubt it.

      I find the Russian telegrams usually exaggerate but rarely outright make shit up

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >but rarely outright make shit up
        something something own power

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >I find the Russian telegrams usually exaggerate but rarely outright make shit up
        Yes it is so in Telegram group Incest Slave Z many things are shown that the western Media dare not!

  4. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    isnt that the dam that provides fresh water to Crimea?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Yes, if the dam goes, Crimea is fricked for water supply.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Not only that, it also provides a lot of the coolant water for the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Remember this war was start to "help" Russians in Ukraine. Putin did a real good job helping them 'bout as good as he has done helping the Russian Federation.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >Helped Russian speakers in Donbas,etc by entirely depopulating them by drafting them for human wave attacks

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          He then proceeded to help the Russian-speaking majorities in Kharkov by shelling them immediately and continuously for the entire war.
          Also the Russian speaking majorities in Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Marinka, etc have been thoroughly helped.

          Behold: Aid to Russian speakers by King Monke.

  5. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Seems like its happening.

    https://twitter.com/ArthurM40330824/status/1665891113582972930

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Hmm, that seems bad.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >https://twitter.com/ArthurM40330824/status/1665891113582972930
      very neutral

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Dude is a zigger. Don't believe a fricking thing he posts.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      I STAND CORRECTED
      https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1665905176140554243?s=20

      That damn is fricking BUSTED
      What would it take to frick up all that reinforced concrete?

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Less explosive than you might think applied on the right spot.. the British dam buster bombs were based off of 55 gallon drums… not tiny, but compare it to something like a tall boy…

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Some Soviet developed bombs could do it. The dam buster bomb in question had a boom equal to nearly 10,000ibs of TNT(they used 6,600ibs of Torpex).
        A FAB-9000 has nearly 20k Ibs of boom, a pretty high power level, but I don't think they're still in service with Russia, maybe Ukraine still has some.
        BETAB-500s are kind of small by explosive weight at 216ibs, but are designed to penetrate concrete bunkers and crater runways, and dams have been destroyed by as little as 280ibs of TNT.
        FAB-500M-62s have at most 660ibs of boom assuming that none of it has been sacrificed for the glide/guidance kit and are in very common usage by the Russians, with Ukrainian officials saying they receive 10-20 each day.
        KAB-1500 family has the most suitable bombs the Russians have for it, several being specificly designed for penetrating through concrete, although the KAB-1500 family of bombs is in short supply. The most suitable oof them, KAB-1500L-EX, is for destroying buried nuke silos.
        Dam itself was probably built pretty tough. Despite planning to fight any scenario for WWIII offensively the Soviets prepared extensively for nuclear and conventional defensive warfare within the Union in their construction.
        Planning like that is why most of the commie-blocks in the Fort of Bahkmut are still standing, though ruined.
        Oh, and a missile could probably do it. Air raid alarms these past six hours all over Ukraine, with a bunch of arrivals.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >Arthur Morgan
      That guy is a common Russian Disinfo agent.

  6. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    >more terrorist attacks from Ukraine
    I can’t support this shit

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >muh terrorism

      Not what that word means, pidor.

      I STAND CORRECTED
      https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1665905176140554243?s=20

      >romanov_92
      So that's a ~90% chance it's bullshit.

  7. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    dam’s fricked

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Jeeeesus Christ.

      >Has flooding ever been used for offensive actions?
      Battle of Xiapi
      Takamatsu Castle
      Oshi Castle

      Retvrning to tradition.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Ass status?

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        recursively self-contained

  8. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    So this ends the counter offensive

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      it was never going to come across the river

  9. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    HOLY FRICKING SHIET but who profits from this? Russian defenders flooding the area or ukrainians preparing something?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      If Russia did this they'd get shooting their own foot. Their defensive areas and fortifications in that part of Kherson are in the flood affected zone. As they sit on the lower bank.

      Ukies most likely have less they need to defend and can dedicated more units on other fronts since any immediete threat of a dnipro crossing by Russians is gonna take a while to materialise.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      It doesn't make any sense for the Ukrainians to blow it up since it might, uh, flood Kherson. It doesn't make a lot of sense for the Russians to do it either though since Crimea's water supply is fricked, unless they don't intend to keep it, or have opted to just wreck Ukraine at this point and slow the offensive as much as possible.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        kherson is slightly uphill

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Can't vouch for this but apparently depicts what would happen with a dam burst

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            I don't think this benefits anyone

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              The key is to figure out who it harms the least. I think Ukraine might be in a better position here, but that really depends on how many people are living in the parts of Kherson that are about to be flooded. Russians, on the other hand, have lots of important defenses in the floodplain, and Crimea relied heavily on this reservoir for fresh water for irrigation.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                >destroy dam
                >conflict is suddenly labeled a "humanitarian crisis"
                >Fortunate Son starts blaring in the distance

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            So they just straight up kill a few thousand people to buy themselves a week at most... they really are fricking subhumans

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              >kill a few thousand people
              This is why we can throw out the Ukies doing it as a theory. Politically they couldn't harm their own people like this, the truth would come out and they know it. Putin OTOH doesn't care.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                They would theoretically have several hours to evacuate people even once the water was on it's way. If they planned this they could have started before the dam burst. Though we probably would've heard something about that, unless they were blocking all communications somehow.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                There are Ukrainian citizens on the Russian controlled bank.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                True. It just seems like such a short sighted, poorly thought out move for the Russians. I guess I should have learned not to expect anything less by now.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Oh please, spare us your trannoid logic. The explosion was on the Russian side. That's enough.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                >trannoid
                Oh just go back to kiwifarms you pathetic piece of shit. Leave this discussion to the adults.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                >kiwifarms
                No idea what that is nor do I care to find out. Most normal people hate you pedos

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Sadly the only appropriate countermove in this situation is to strike the Kursk NPP.

                [...]
                Stings to have someone immediately call you out, doesn't it? I'm gonna buy a bottle of champagne when your webhost gets arrested.

                lay off the estrogen and take your schizo pills

                Isn't it just so infuriating saying all of these mean things, knowing that you don't know who the person you're saying to them is, knowing that they're just laughing at you? You must feel so impotent.

                https://i.imgur.com/YAXhtFk.jpg

                LMAO, seethe more, kiwigay.

                Yeah if you haven't been bowled over by a large wave or been near floodwaters you don't have an intuitive sense of just how heavy water is. That shit is terrifying. From the perspective of a dam a single hole is death as it will then be eroded and opened wider by an infinite stream of water.

                [...]
                Here's a hint. Don't talk like a kiwifarms user and use kiwifarms slang if you don't want to be identified as one.

                >homosexuals see someone use phrase they don't like online; have schizo meltdown over nothing
                a tale as old as time

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Go and dilate your stink ditch, troon.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                We get it, kid, you want to frick trannies and you've come here to tell us. Now go leave and jerk off to bald men with veganas or whatever you pathetic shits do there.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                >We

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Responding to the wrong dude my homie

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Responding to the wrong dude my homie

                Looking through the replies I must have clicked on

                lay off the estrogen and take your schizo pills

                by mistake as I am phonegay posting rn. My bad.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                They probably pulled anything back a while ago. Wouldn't need them if they planned to flood it any way since the enemy wont be coming from that direction. Have more freedom to move them up west instead.

                >Implying Russia wouldn't just drown their disposable mobliks to preserve opsec

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous
          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Doming the flooding here will be waist level, not drown level, and knee level in kherson at best.

            Hope they don't have ammo depots at the front

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Out of curiosity, does anyone know how many people have moved back into Kherson? I wonder if the Ukrainians felt that flooding it was worth flooding Russian defenses on the other side and cutting off the water supply to Crimea at this stage of the counteroffensive.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        I call glowies on this one. There is no way Russians can be this moronic. They would be inviting for more trouble if we take in consideration that Power Plant is going to get fricked, causing an ecological disaster that might flood into other parts of Europe.
        And the Ukranians can't be that moronic to do that..right?

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >There is no way Russians can be this moronic.
          Dangerous words

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >who profits from this
      Both sides get fricked. Ukraine gets fricked more.

      Ukraine
      >Has to divert resources to rescue operations
      >Any crossing operations are completely scuttled
      >Lost incredibly valuable infrastructure and received shittons of internal damage they didn't need to take from the flood
      >Kherson fricked
      >Their artillery gets forced back south of the dam
      >Landed infantry on the east bank in danger/dead if they're still there and couldn't get out in time

      Russia
      >Any hope of restoring water supply to Crimea is gone
      >The east bank is lower so they just lost a shitton of land and villages and their forces get pushed back further than they already had been by Ukraine taking the west bank with superior artillery

      Russia basically only loses hope of getting back shit they'd already lost and has to pull back some more. For Ukraine it's a costly clusterfrick.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        There will be negligible flooding on the Ukrainian conteolled portion of the river.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >There will be negligible flooding on the Ukrainian controlled portion of the river.
          "Negligible" relative the total area getting fricked, which is gonna be big. Parts of Kherson are still gonna get fricked.

          Having part of a major city end up underwater is bad actually.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Yeah but Ukraine's been running DRG sneaki ops in the delta area for months, those islands are just going to be totally awash.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          "Less than the other bank" is pretty different from "negligible"

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Yes but the other bank is empty land they can just walk away from and it turns into defensible marsh.
          Ukraine side is vital crossing docks and cites lost.
          And no dry land to try to cross into.
          For now its a total russian victory

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >The east bank is lower so they just lost a shitton of land and villages and their forces get pushed back further than they already had been by Ukraine taking the west bank with superior artillery
        This could be a potential benefit for Russia, at least in the short term. This frees up the troops that were defending the banks of the Dnipro from Ukrainian crossings.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        On the Russia demerit list this will be a political/PR catastrophe.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous
        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          I mean, yeah. But it's not like Russia's reputation can tank much further at this point.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Ria Novosti, Russian state-affiliated media, was denying that it happened a little less than two hours ago: Mayor of occupied Nova Kakhovka tells RIA Novosti that the dam is fine, everything is "quiet", and "normal everywhere".
            40 minutes ago: Mayor "corrects" his story to say that, actually, Ukrainians shelled the hydroelectric station overnight.

            I think at this point we can safely point the finger at the Russians, who mined the dam in their territory and blew it up.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              Yeah, if the Russians are already pointing fingers at the Ukrainians for it, you know they're lying. They want the immediate tactical advantages of blowing the dam without the humanitarian fallout. Typical Russian MO.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                What's darkly humorous is that the dam break supposedly happened at 2:35am local time. The Russian-appointed quisling mayor was on Telegram as late as 6:27am saying "nope, all is quiet here" and later corrected his story to "night strikes on the dam".
                RF state media now saying it collapsed due to "damage".

  10. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    >Tactical implications
    hohol dreams of crossing are over.
    they have no choice but to try to move across prepared kill zones for them where russians eagerly expect them.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >prepared kill zones
      Ive heard this during Kharkiv offensive too

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      What is actualy over is water supply to Crimea and cooling the nuclear power station.

      Expect ziggers running home to Rostoc soon-ish, leaving behind scorched earth is their classic move afterall.

  11. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1665907854157680641

    Critical flooding level is expected in about 6 hours
    Source is Sushko so take it with a grain of salt

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      One guy in the replies there posted this interesting map and short article for the affected areas of the flooding
      https://cornucopia.se/2022/10/worst-case-modelling-for-nova-kakhovka-dam-break/

  12. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    The dam looks fricked. The water levels don't seem to be a huge difference in height so I'm not sure how much it would take to stabilize the situation long-term and what type of damage there will be downstream. Also not sure how badly it will frick up water for the powerplant. Russia evacuated civilians on the south bank a while ago, so that might be evidence of planning. Russia wants to inflict economic damage on Ukraine, and blowing the bridge hurts Ukraine, but blowing the bridge also fricks over Russian controlled Crimea.

    Russia is claiming Ukraine did it, but Russia lies about everything. Blowing the bridge slows Ukraine from advancing into Kherson from across river but it also fricks over Russian defensive positions on south bank. Blowing the bridge might trap Russian troops deployed to south bank who can't leave due to flooding.

    Whoever seems more prepared for the bridge being blown is likely who did it.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      The Reservoir behind the dam has a capacity about half that of Lake Powell or Mead, and was at capacity last month....

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        I have no idea what that means for the nuclear plant, damage, downstream effects, etc..

  13. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    If Russia did this Europe will freak out at the risk to the nuke plant, no?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Apparently the nuclear plant uses mostly groundwater for cooling, so it's not really at risk.

      who the frick actually benefits from this?

      If Ukraine blew it up, they denied themselves a potential river crossing and may have potentially fricked over the Zaphorizhia NPP, meaning more of Ukraine becomes irradiated wasteland.

      If Russia did it they just fricked over Crimea's water supply and just washed away a shitload of towns on the riverbanks that are under their control.

      I don't think the Ukrainians were seriously considering a full scale river crossing, and I doubt Russia would blow the dam just because of the smaller incursions that did happen.

  14. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    who the frick actually benefits from this?

    If Ukraine blew it up, they denied themselves a potential river crossing and may have potentially fricked over the Zaphorizhia NPP, meaning more of Ukraine becomes irradiated wasteland.

    If Russia did it they just fricked over Crimea's water supply and just washed away a shitload of towns on the riverbanks that are under their control.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Russians have slightly more reason to blow it up.
      If they’re retreating, they’ll salt the earth their entire path home.
      To Ukraine, this is their original territory and making repairs is more costly than just seizing it.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >Russians have slightly more reason to blow it up.
        I don't know about that, this might effectively put Crimea under siege. Unless they can transport enough water via rail and ship connections to make up for the 80% of the peninsula's fresh water supply that just got diverted.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Crimea survived between 2014 and 2022 without.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            they were transporting it

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            if the land bridge is cut and the bridge is wreaked then they would have to ship water across the straight while also shipping all their ammo and supplies.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              Again Crimea survived without a bridge and without canal for better part of a decade.
              There wont be any tourists this year and
              I assume civies will start to leave if they already haven't. The kerch strait is very narrow even without the bridges it shouldn't be too hard to supply with military kit. Even with the Ukies on the north Azov shore the strait is a long way away, they could storm shadow it but that makes no sense against barges.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            This is true, but a lot of that water gets used for agriculture. Could still be pretty damaging, at least in the short term until they can transition back to the way they were doing things before.

            You don't need a lot to do a lot. You're forgetting that every dam ever made suffers from extreme pressure on one side, and always has to deal with fissures in the cement. If you can just compromise the structure enough, mother nature will take care of the rest and destroy the dam. That's why people talk about destroying the 3 Gorges with just conventional JDAMs. Nukes wouldn't be needed because the insane water pressure would take care of the hard part.

            Makes sense, I just didn't think it would wash half the dam away.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      if Russia expects to lose the area sooner or later what do they care.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      The Russian military is like a cornered rat right now. They are going to do everything they can to disrupt Ukraine, because they have no other option.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      It could be a simple lack of maintenence. It's been in the middle of the front line for 7 months now. I highly doubt that's been a good situation for the dam.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        dams don't just do that on their own

        although it would be pretty funny if it did

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        dams are a cement block moron. the hoover dam doesnt blow up every 7 months

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          dams don't just do that on their own

          although it would be pretty funny if it did

          It's been at record levels for like 3 months with water going over the spillways

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >meaning more of Ukraine becomes irradiated wasteland
      >t. gets all his info about nuclear power from Fallout

  15. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Dear God, Ukrainian infrastructure is going to be fricked when this is over

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Western construction companies are gonna be raking it in hand over fist for a decade or more.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Half of France, BeNeLux and all of Germany was FUBAR in 1945.
      They pretty much rebuilt everything in 10 years.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        *with infinite burgerbucks

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          well yeah, marshal planning post war Ukraine into twice the per capita GDP of Russia is just a fun and wholesome way to rub it in. In the event the war ends with part of Ukraine still occupied, well even better, you can use it as an East v West Germany style showcase of superiority.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Marshal Plan 2.0
      And compromised Russian stooges will oppose it again, just like they did 80 years ago.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      there's a lot of money waiting to be made in the reconstructions. need i remind you the fact that the old marshal plan actually made united states boat load of money.

      in fact, the west already divided the investment zones up since early last year.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >expecting the US to be okay with sharing a region when Switzerland and Canada each get their own

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >Ireland off alone in the corner with an almost entirely undamaged region

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          that's the most oil/gas rich region. having US taking it alone would've been too on the nose. though you'd be crazy to believe US is actually sharing more than a few crumbs to Turkey.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        I want a detailed accounting of what Ireland is doing to rebuild Ukraine.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          It's going to plant many potatoes, and also blow up a bus in front of the British embassy.

  16. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    When will Amerikkka disavow these terroristic acts?

  17. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    I'm putting together a team...

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      I know a guy. He's the only one to ever do a job this big. I heard he's retired though. Maybe we can get him a crew for one last big score...

      "The front of the actual dam, runs approximately 775 metres in length. The entire perimeter of the dam area is close to 2000 metres. The surface area is approximately 70,000 square metres. The pond formed by the dam is probably one metre deep, which means it would contain about 70,000 cubic metres of water"

      https://www.pc.gc.ca/pn-np/nt/woodbuffalo/nature/beaver_gallery?wbdisable=true

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        We're gonna need a bigger beaver.

  18. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    what the frick did you homosexuals just do?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      we were storing ammo inside the dam and i had a little oopsy woopsie while smoking a cigarette please understand

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      I farted and lit a match because it stunk

  19. 11 months ago
    Anonymous
    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      That's concerning
      Is this going to be another Nordstream situation where no one clames responsibility?

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Nah it’s blatantly the Russians though they won’t claim it.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Blatantly russians even though it harms them WAY more lol. Ukraine did this because they knew millions of idiots like you will never believe they would do it. Militarily it drowns millions of Russian equipment and kills hundreds of Russians. It also fricks over Crimea completely

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            millions of dollars**

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            >t moron
            From a short term perspective it makes sense for the Russians to blow the dam. It frees them up to move the units on the other side of the river to become an emergency reserve against the counter attack. It buys them maybe two weeks where there’s no risk of a major river crossing incursion to cut off Crimea from the rest of their salient. Long term it’s not fricking great for them. Most of the flooding is on their side of the river currently and that’s a lot of prepared defenses essentially wasted. But short term gain is the Russian way.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              If the offensive had been on for a few more days and it was clearly going poorly for Russia then I'd believe this more but it makes no sense for them to do it and frick over everything longterm just because of a couple probing attacks in a different sector (!!).
              Russian leadership (this decision wasn't made by a colonel) which has been delusional for the entire war would not wake up to the fact that they are in a bad spot now and blow up their Crimeas lifeline which was one of the actual main reasons this war was fought in the first place

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            It will turn much of the up-stream area into mud flats, that'll help the Russians if they expected an amphibious operation between Nova Kakhovka and Zaporizhzhia

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Thing is, if Ukraine recaptured the dam or any part of the canal the water to Crimea was going to be cut anyhow. Crimea also has its own potable water, and the canal was cut off 2014-2022, so it's not like they just cut off their drinking water supply, the canal is mainly for large-scale industry and agriculture.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              They cut cheap drinking water supply and unlike 2014 Russia can't provide drinking water from salt water anymore

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              Crimea costs Russia billions every year because its economy is artificial. A huge part of this is the farms and large scale agriculture that dont get water anymore. Even in 2021 Russia was still rationing out water that would often times come out polluted and this was just for drinking water in major cities.
              I refuse to believe Russia wouldn't at least try to fight what would be a really stupid river crossing honestly before blowing it up and dooming Crimea to cost them even more billions

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Makes sense if you assume they're panicking. Belgorod, the south, Bakhmut ukies already raiding across the river etc. The Russians are overstretched, their lines undermanned and they know they can't hold everywhere. Trying to shut down the Kherson front by blowing the dam isn't a good plan, but the Russians don't exactly have a lot of those at this point.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Like every other decision they make is a short term gain for a long term fricking.
                Yeah they secured the front for atleast a month by crimea is now out of water and eventually the river up north will suddenly be crossable.
                It prevents crimea from getting immedatly sieged at the cost of rendering it more uninhabitable long term requiring even more intensive supplies long term.
                Now water also must be shipped in for the population.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                IIRC water will be short for the population, but not unbearable so. The water imports from the Dnipro were vital for agriculture on the peninsula, not drinking water for the population.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Russia is incompetent but not completely irrational. No reason to believe that the top leadership who has always been somewhat delusional on their actual chances of winning wouldn't wait a few days to see what happens and then blow it.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Problem is that depending on your view, "a few days" is easily the difference between being bale to transfer some units from Kherson to the east in time or coming too late to prevent a catastrophic collapse of the front. People tend to change how they act when their back's to the wall.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            You're a complete fricking moron if you think causing floods doesn't slow down the ukrainians. Yeah right bro, that doesn't benefit russia at all, lol

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Weren't the Russians in control of the dam?

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Doubtful they probably pulled back and blew the dam.
            It basically prevents any crossing efforts for weeks floods ukrainain cities and turns the russian bank into extremely defensable marshes and mud for atleast a month.
            It buys them alot of time and allows them to focus elsewhere instead of worrying about just stabbing in the back from suprise river crossing.
            Long term its worse for them but everything in this war shows russians have a very high time peferance.
            Now Ukraine has alot troops and equipment if they were planning a landing now useless or washed out in kherson and any bridging and boats washed away.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >It wasn't the Russians who literally are occupying the dam amd rigged it to explode months ago
        This is Putin trying to take the ball and go home to block the counteroffensive.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        If it was Putin or not, take it for granted that the Monke King will accuse the NATO of falseflagging.

  20. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Big implications for Crimea
    Big implications for the nuclear plant

  21. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Russians blew it, pictures show where the damage is - turbine stations on the Russian side. Rig those with explosives and boom.

    This is a panic move. They have no reserves so they’re hoping to buy a few days, leave a skeleton crew in place, and relocate the rest of the units south of the dam to try and stop the counter offensive that’s coming.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Russians are trying to shore up their left flank.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        The shore certainly will move up their left flank

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      was it a tactical nuke? honestly thats a big fricking hole.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Frick no.
        There would be reports of radiation being detected, not to mention the damage really isn't even close to what a small nuke could do.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          no baby nuke?

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            baby nukes give off radiation, they also send of very distinct gama-rays in a double flash. They can be seen from space.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Dams will rip themselves apart once you put a hole in it, the initial bomb probably wasn't that big.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        There are satellite constellations that would've detected an above ground nuclear blast immediately. Definitely no nukes. Probably lots of demolition charges to start, and then the water did the rest.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        The US/NATO is monitoring Russia so closely that if they even begin to prepare a nuclear weapon, they’re going to be announcing it to the rest of the world like they did leading up to the start of the war. I’m sure we already know who did this, it’s not like the Nordstream pipeline where it’s underwater.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Calling it now: the CIA blew up the dam

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            It's a big dam

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              4U

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                UUUU

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Nah, conventional bombs are enough to blow a dam. Just weaken the structure and the millions of tons of water will push the dam over.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Yeah if you haven't been bowled over by a large wave or been near floodwaters you don't have an intuitive sense of just how heavy water is. That shit is terrifying. From the perspective of a dam a single hole is death as it will then be eroded and opened wider by an infinite stream of water.

          lay off the estrogen and take your schizo pills

          Here's a hint. Don't talk like a kiwifarms user and use kiwifarms slang if you don't want to be identified as one.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Here's a hint: have a nice day moron

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              Isn't it just so infuriating saying all of these mean things, knowing that you don't know who the person you're saying to them is, knowing that they're just laughing at you? You must feel so impotent.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              LMAO, seethe more, kiwigay.

  22. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    tbh I my gut instinct is Russia blew the dam. Consider:
    1. The Ukrainian counteroffensive has been looming for months, on the back of extremely lackluster winter ops for Russia.
    2. Russian forces have previously tried to destroy the dam
    3. The Kremlin has been threatening nooks for the duration of the war.
    4. They know they can't use nooks, but they clearly have desire to escalate.
    I ask you, how do you achieve WMD effects (which in Russian doctrine are apperceived to deescalate control war) without blowing up a WMD?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      So what other dams can they threaten to blow up after this? (in an escalate to deescalate scenario)

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      + the dam provided a lot of the water for the Zaporizhzhia NPP
      I'll bet that "due to the Ukrainians destroying the dam" the plant is going to go into a meltdown in the coming weeks

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        EU would see through this and declare military quarantine around the plant, although maybe that works in Russia's favour if they think they'll lose it anyway.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Zapo's reactors are all shut down and a decent part of the cooling comes form ground water.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >Ukrainian offensive starts
        >Russians cause a nuclear disaster to force a ceasefire
        >Ukrainians have tasted blood and don't give up
        >West quickly sends large amounts of CBRN aid
        >Radioactive armored offensive smashing through Russian lines to secure ZNPP before shit really hits the fan
        KINO KINO KINO

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          The lid of Tom Clancy's casket would pop off from the strength of his postmortem boner

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >Russia flips the table and nukes every bridge over the Dniper
          >Zelensky comes on TV in a MOPP suit and carrying a rifle, calling for jihad

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      A nuclear meltdown at Zaporizhia is one of the worst things that could happen for Ukraine right now since it could result in allies calling for a ceasefire right as their counteroffensive is starting. They've been worried for months that Russia would try a false-flag at the nuclear powerplant, this could be it.

      It makes no sense for Ukraine to do this.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        What do the Europeans do if Russia causes a meltdown that isn't a front-wide ceasefire that works in Russia's favour? Is it out of the realm that some/all of NATO considers it the last straw and simply goes to war in Ukraine to force Russia out? Putin may welcome that since he can withdrawl honourably having lost to NATO instead of Ukraine.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        That's stupid, they can call all they want but Ukraine doesn't have to listen.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          In the mind of Russia, Ukraine is a puppet state for NATO with no capacity to make independent decisions.
          In some sense they are right because Ukraine does have to walk a fine line, especially in terms of how they utilize certain weapon systems, to keep up the level of support they are receiving.

  23. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    >it’s real
    Holy shit

  24. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Vatniks on twitter are screeching about the 'keef regime' flooding poor defenseless hohol civvies so now I know the russian Black folk blew it. It's probably a vengeance action to frick up as much shit as possible before they withdraw to shorter lines.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Of course Russians blew it, what possible reason could Ukraine have for doing it? It might not flood that much of Kherson but it's expensive electrical infrastructure and also provided a bridge over to the Russian side. There's literally not a single rational reason for Ukraine to blow it up.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        That's not even to mention the size of the blast.
        Whoever did it needed access to the structure, no way Ukraine snuck in a few tons of demolition charges to blow it.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Likely. They've probably gamed out their options after a successful Ukrainian offensive through Tokmak, realized they'll have to withdraw to positions in Crimea and near Mariupol, and decided to frick up the Ukrainians on the way out. I've seen speculation that it might take out the bridge near Kherson as well. Not just put a hole in it, actually pick it up and sweep it away.

      Regardless this is the sort of thing you need a LOT of written, contemporaneous, reasoning to get away with.

      was it a tactical nuke? honestly thats a big fricking hole.

      No, the US would be screaming its head off if a tactical nuke went off. Those things have radiological signatures (there are likely monitoring stations all over Ukraine as part of the Ukrainian armed forces in addition to the stationary pre-war ones) and the US has a satellite system which can identify the unique signature that nuclear weapons have.

      It was probably just a few tons of HE, maybe old 155mm shells, put inside the structure of the dam. All you need to do is create a hole and the water will do the rest, it may have taken hours for this level of damage to accumulate.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Nafogays on twatter are screeching that Russia did it.
      That must mean Ukraine did it!
      How about we wait for proof or at least argue using logic instead of crying about what people who know nothing are saying?

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        I want to play poker with you

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        You people are a treat, you know?

  25. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    evacuation already started

  26. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    The Zaporizhzhia power plant is currently in a cold shutdown state, has been since September. I don't think there is any immediate danger of a meltdown.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      If Russians could do Chernobyl accidentally, imagine the disaster they could cause on purpose
      Vatniks are really fascinating creatures, they have the IQ to operate relatively advanced machinery and understand technology, but they have the judgement and impulse control of Black folk

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Even if the plant is in danger because of this, there will be more than enough time for the personnel working there to make lots of noise about it. It's currently about as safe as it could be without the reactors being completely decommissioned.

  27. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Nuclear meltdown imminent?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      The plant is upstream from the dam, it will be fine.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        that's the problem moron, the plant's cooling water is now rapidly chasing the moskva

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          The river isn't going to go away just because the dam is gone.
          The plant is barely operating anyway, the whole panic over it is greatly overstated.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            the problem isn't the reactors, the problem is the spent fuel pool which without active cooling will apparently start boiling, which seems like an insane design but it's a Soviet nuclear plant

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              >which seems like an insane design but it's a Soviet nuclear plant
              thats true of any plant. they have to stay in the pool until they are cool enough for transport to deep storage. the cooling process takes around 5 years.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                And they can't just make the basin large enough to passively cool itself?

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                the water boils away so you have to keep pumping in new water.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        will it?

  28. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    if Ukraine was trying to cross the Dnipro this will make crossing the river significantly harder
    otoh, the Russians will have to move their prepared fortifications back by some distance because of the flooding and will have to spend some time digging new trenches

    who's worse off?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      I don't know if a Ukrainian river crossing was ever going to happen

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        But the joke is that the Russians deemed it possible, and enough of a threat.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Russia has a proclivity for worrying about the wrong things, see: this entire war

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Ukraine immediately, but Russia in the long term. This was very much a desperation move to slow down any advance

  29. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Unless proof comes out otherwise I think the ziggers did this. No way the Ukkies would flood the Kherson region right after they took the place

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Strategically it makes more sense for the Russians to do it, they cut off any forces in the Kherson region if they take out the dam and bridges further down. Implies Russia is genuinely spooked by the whole counter offensive idea and wanted to cut down enemy attack routes to as few as possible. Of course means they'll never get into Kherson again but I think they accepted that a long time ago.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Tactically-operationally helpful for Russia. Strategically it's a disaster for Russia.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          I don't think it really is unless Russia ever intended to get over to Kherson again, which I think they've given up on at this point. Putting a big load of water between them and Ukrainian forces narrows Ukraine down to attacking from the Donbass and would make supplying any excursion close to Crimea more difficult by cutting off potential logistics routes, forcing everything to go the long way instead of cutting across the dam and bridges.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            The unintended consequence of this is that any forces in Kherson that were previously guarding against a Russian offensive are now free to move. They might actually invade Russia proper over this.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              Yeah but it serves Russias strengths, in that they can just pile everything into a small area. I think after the failed multiprong offensives they tried in the early days, they've decided to go back to basics and focus on just massing brute numbers by limiting their enemies tactical mobility. If they enemy can't get around your back this plays in Russia's favour of numbers.

  30. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    FYI Crimea hasn't been getting any water from the river since 2014. The Russians tried to reactivate the canals in 2022 but they were destroyed from being unmaintained for so long.

  31. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    flood model: russian side is fricked. Parts of kherson closest to the river will flood and the inhulets river swell.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Did the Russians have many troops/fortifications on the south bank?

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        they had to because if undefended the Ukrainians could sneak across and raid the Russian side, but they evacuated the villages on their side recently so I'd assume many of their troops went also.

        that assumes it was the russians that did it and not a unfortunate accident from lack of maintenance on the dam and artillery damage.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        They probably pulled anything back a while ago. Wouldn't need them if they planned to flood it any way since the enemy wont be coming from that direction. Have more freedom to move them up west instead.

        I think they probably did this to free up troops that were guarding the area. I think there were some still there because Ukrainians were apparently harassing them with small incursions as recently as yesterday.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          cant leave it completely open, else wise the Ukrainians would know something was afoot.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Thing is, flooding goes both ways. If you have defensive fighting positions along the bank, they get flooded too.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        They probably pulled anything back a while ago. Wouldn't need them if they planned to flood it any way since the enemy wont be coming from that direction. Have more freedom to move them up west instead.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Thing about water is that boats float on it even if the water is someplace it usually isnt.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Boats are far from an ideal way to pull off a military attack, certainly if you want to move heavy gear across. The bridges and dam would be much easier for Ukrainian forces to move across.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              A large scale crossing would require bridges. With boats you can only get a handful of infantry across.

              They have PTS'2's

              Each one can carry a truck and a field gun across, or about 30 guys (very uncomfortably).

              With proper organization and using a combination of vehicles they could ferry across a battalion or so.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                You'd need hundreds of them to do anything substantial, and any river crossing would be very vulnerable. Amphibious assaults really are something you should only consider if there's absolutely not other way, and even then I doubt the Ukrainians could get enough across to be effective.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                10 of them means 10 vehicle. Assume a round trip takes an hour that's 24 trips per day and 240 vehicles. Roghly the number of vehicles in a battalion. With smaller shit ferrying grunts its very doable.

                And yes, river crossings are hot trash. But you dont start ferrying the big stuff first - you would have to establish a foothold on the far bank first with light infantry.

                >Length 11.52 m (37 ft 10 in)
                >length of river between Kherson and the russian side : 1.11km

                Its a big boat, not a bridge, ya goddamn smooth brain.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                >Assume a round trip takes an hour that's 24 trips per day and 240 vehicles.
                I know the Russians are moronic, but there is no way the Russians are going to just let them do this. Assuming those things could even get across a river that deep and wide, the Ukrainians would have no logistics support once on the other side vs an enemy that does.. It'd be suicide.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                oh i thought it was a bridge layer
                still a dumb idea though its not like the russians would just watch this boat move slowly over to their position

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                >Length 11.52 m (37 ft 10 in)
                >length of river between Kherson and the russian side : 1.11km

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                They would need a lot more than trucks, field guns, and infantry for a successful offensive across the river.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Why would it have to be an offensive? Why not just a fixing action to support an offensive elsewhere?

                Get a couple of battalions across and the Russians have to stay to defend. If you dont everyone on the Russian side of the river becomes a strategic reserve for stuff happening up north.

              • 11 months ago
                Anonymous

                Good point, but I don't think you'd need anything on the scale you were describing to achieve that, just a couple boats of infantry crossing once in a while would be enough to keep them guessing. Seems like that was enough to scare the Russians into blowing the dam.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            A large scale crossing would require bridges. With boats you can only get a handful of infantry across.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >Thing is, flooding goes both ways
        No that's literally the point, if the Russian held bank is lower, then that area floods. The Ukrainian held bank is higher, so no flood, or minimal.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        I think we are missing the bigger picture, namely the reservoir in the north disappearing, making a river crossing on the now smaller reservoir in a few weeks alot easier, the Russians are completely underprepared and a riverbed quickly dries out in the European June sun, becoming sand, which is perfect for tank movements.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Would honestly be Kino if this were true, but I doubt the riverbed gets narrow enough for it to be viable

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          it would make bridging the river significantly easier.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Crazy fricking thought but what if they're emptying the reservoir so the can cross it more easily.

          it would make bridging the river significantly easier.

          All that freshly exposed ground is gonna be complete sludge for a while, it's been sitting underwater for the better part of a century.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Have you ever seen how quickly a creek dries out during summer? Granted it’s just the girst layers of soil, it’s still very quick as lo mg as there is no tidal movement replenishing it.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              This is a bit more than a creek, and there's still going to be a river running through it.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              It would still be much simpler to pontoon.

            • 11 months ago
              Anonymous

              The mud and silt accumulation under this lake probably runs between 10 meters and 20 meters deep in most places. You're average "creek" might be half a meter to a meter. The lakebed doesn't just need to evaporate, all the water accumulated in the mud and silt has to drain, a process that can take years depending on a number of factors.

              In this case, this part of Ukraine is a gigantic, ancient delta (from the glaciers). The reason this land is so rich for agriculture. It's also fairly level, so water takes a long time to drain out of the soil. No way this lake bed dries out before next summer, not in any way that allows for armor columns to drive across it. No, it isn't sand. It's mud and glacial till. With the proper bridging & pontooning equipment, paths could be constructed that would allow armor to drive across, but that would be mid August or October, if this year at all. It's a massive engineering project.

  32. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    YOU MANIACS!

  33. 11 months ago
    Anonymous
    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      underrated post

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      genius of this gif is that it is an Indian saying it, so you can imagine vatnik poo shills saying
      >MAYBE IT JUST COLLAPSED ON ITS OWN AND RUSSIA NOT INVOLVED?????

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Give it a couple of hours. The morning poostorm from Calcutta is about to fire up. I'll bet 20 quatloos this is exactly a huge slice of the poopie incoming for today.

  34. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Honestly? People get so hung up about the dam feeding crimea that they think the russians wouldn't starve the peninsula of water to spite the Ukrainians trying to use it for the next decade or so. Even their delusional asses probably see the writing on the wall, expect to see more and more sabotage of basic civic infrastructure as the russians leave.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Agreed. If the Russians feel like their position is no longer possible in Ukraine they’ll burn Donbas and Luhansk to the ground

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Sadly the only appropriate countermove in this situation is to strike the Kursk NPP.

      >kiwifarms
      No idea what that is nor do I care to find out. Most normal people hate you pedos

      Stings to have someone immediately call you out, doesn't it? I'm gonna buy a bottle of champagne when your webhost gets arrested.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        the ingenious part of russian defenses is any infrastructure that gets destroyed is only speeding up what would've happened in a decade anyways due to rot

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        lay off the estrogen and take your schizo pills

  35. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Cant wait for the power plant to blow up. Mmm irradiated piggies

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Poland has said in the past that if radiation from a meltdown at ZNPP contaminates polish ground they would invoke article V of the NATO treaty.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >poland said
        stopped reading right there, if poland tries shit we nuke

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >we
          By all means, do it homosexual.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          nook nook

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Lmao, with what? A fricking patriot clapped your best shit. Enjoy sucking off chinks for rice and potassium iodide.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          i wish you rusBlack folk would stop talking and actually nuke

          if you vatBlack folk nuke, we americans nuke you. and we both know your nukes dont work because your moronic vodka Black folk

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          come on
          I'm hearing this NOOK
          for like so many times now

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Do it and the Russian people will be genocided to the last man, woman, and child

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        And Article 5 does not state immediate declaration of war against the aggressor. It simply states that you have to do stuff to 'secure the security of the North Atlantic area'. Which does not mean declaring war on Russia. That is the final, ultimate part of the treaty. Literally 'up to military action'. So it is possible all it means is that NATO sends radiation decon to try and mitigate the issues to Poland.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        No one cares what Poland says, they're all bark and no bite.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      And if the wind blows in the right direction, irradiated muscovites.

  36. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    New smo battlepass

  37. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    not a single media outlet in the us covering this huge event, absolute insanity. i get it's late at night in the US and early morning in Ukraine, but still.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      bro are you moronic most of the news people are sleeping rn

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      It'll probably be one of the top stories tomorrow morning, and to be honest there isn't much to report on quite yet. Maybe waiting for statements from the UKR/RUS/USA governments?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Big media does have standards you know?
      Random telegram poster can put whatever they like up without having to go through 2-3 people for approval.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      If you watch/read Fox you wouldn't know the war was happening at all, except as some exercise in graft.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Germany, France, the UK, Japan, and Australia are not covering it, either. Yet.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        The MSM are usually 2-5 days behind Ukraine. It's in the "gee that sucks" zone of the world.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        If its real I would expect to see it on ABC news in about 12 hours
        They're fast, but they generally don't update outside of working hours unless its something big that affects Australians

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >If its real
          Anon take a look at reporting, it's real from fricking space.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          see

          Here we go, the first western news stories

          https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-russia-blows-up-major-nova-kakhovka-dam-southern-ukraine-2023-06-06/
          https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/jun/06/russia-ukraine-war-live-dam-near-kherson-blown-up-by-russian-forces-ukrainian-military-says
          https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/06/europe/ukraine-nova-kakhovka-dam-breach-intl-hnk/index.html
          https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/06/06/ukraine-russia-war-latest-counter-offensive-kakhovka-dam/
          https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230606-%F0%9F%94%B4-live-ukraine-says-russian-forces-blew-up-nova-kakhova-dam-in-kherson-region

  38. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Crazy fricking thought but what if they're emptying the reservoir so the can cross it more easily.

  39. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Was Russia really that fricking afraid of a Dnipro amphibious assault?
    I guess they lowered the chance of it happening from 5% to 1%.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      They can move troops from the area to other more likely zones now that they’ve made in extremely difficult to assault

  40. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Would this action make any up river crossings easier?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      crossing a big lake is harder than crossing a river yes

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Path of least resistance is still through eastern Ukraine, always has been. Once it became clear the Russian military managed an organized retreat from the west bank, I've never understood why people thought a major Ukrainian offensive effort would be taken ACROSS the Dnieper, which is unequivocally the strongest fortification the Russians have in.

      If they cut the roads between Mariupol and Melitopol it will have the same devastating effects on supplies going to southern Ukraine.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      any newly exposed ground would be muddy as frick and a huge pain to drive any vehicles across

  41. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Apparently Russian aviation was up and launching guided bombs

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Calling it now they blew the dam accidentally while aiming for something else

  42. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Kinda spooky that the Ukranian offensive just so happens to line up almost perfectly with D-Day

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Stupid idea. Think of the google searches. You'll end up getting multiple hits! Should have done meme magic invasion like Putin did.

  43. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Russia did this because they didn't want Ukraine to use the dam as a bridge. They were worried that they could lose control of their side of it relatively soon.

    Yes, that's the actual reason and yes it's super moronic.

  44. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    what is problem of slavs?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      The Muscovite Yoke

  45. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    I'm honestly surprised that the dam actually lasted this long.

  46. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Ukraine is claiming it was the Russian who blew it.
    https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1665919629930250240?cxt=HHwWgIC-5fbExJ4uAAAA

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      No, the fact is, Russia is flooding the banks of the Dnieper so they can hydroelectric up the whole durn country. Yes, sir, Novorossiya is gonna change. Everything's gonna be put on electricity and run on a paying basis. Out with the old spiritual mumbo jumbo, the superstitions, and the backward ways. We're gonna see a brave new world where they run everybody a wire and hook us all up to a grid. Yes, sir, a veritable age of reason. Like the one they had in France. Not a moment too soon.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        I WENT DOWN TO THE RIVER TO BLYAT
        STUDYING ABOUT THAT GOOD OLD CYKA
        AND WHO SHALL WEAR
        THE HAMMER AND SICKLE
        GOOD PUTIN, SHOW US THE WAY

  47. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    we will see underwater marine kino battles now

  48. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    >Stupid hohols plan D-day style landing on D-day magic date of tuesday Jun 6th.
    >We blow dam and get all of them at once.
    10/10 russian victory

  49. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    So basically all of this will dry up now?
    That's a lot of fricking water man.

  50. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    first nordstream now dam. damn hato terrorism. shame on you west!

  51. 11 months ago
    Anonymous
    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >tactical space marines
      Eugh

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        They're Raven Guard. Tactical glowie shit has always been their #1 favourite.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        I mean there are several fluff pieces of Space Marines doing just that because nobody expected them to come from the ocean. Also a scope is hardly 'tacticool'.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          The marine's helmets have scopes built in.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            Twice the scope, twice the accuracy

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            marines having bigger, more capable scopes on their guns to augment their built-in optics is nothing new, Devastators have had that on their lascannons and missile launcher since forever.

  52. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    literal war crime btw

  53. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    https://streamable.com/b2xmgu

  54. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Honestly this feels like some overzealous moron fricked up rather than some master plan from the higher ups of Russia or Ukraine.

  55. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Holy shit

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      old video

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      It's a old video from like from the first months

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      The camera here looks to be on the portion of the turbine building that is now destroyed, completely detached from the other half, and sitting in the water. I don't think this is a video of the dam bursting.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      That's from last year when the Russians were retreating from the right bank, they blew the road bridge of the dam after crossing

  56. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    How long would it take for the water levels to stabilize?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Couple of weeks, minimum. The elevation change of the land and any incoming rain upstream will be significant factors. Could take a couple of months for true "stabilization." You'd have to come up with an engineering definition for what type & level of "stabilization" you mean.

      It's a REALLY huge lake. All the agriculture for the entire region will be affected, some of it catastrophically. All the water tables for dozens of kilometers to either side will start to lower & drain (for months & years), until the dam is rebuilt and the lake is allowed to refill ... then it will take years for the water tables to fully recover.

  57. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    wait, all this time Ukraine could've destroyed the dam to prevent water from going into Crimea?

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Before the invasion Ukraine dammed the canal to Crimea further downstream.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Consider:
      How about (You) try to NOT be a fricking , mouth-breathing moron out loud? 'Kay?

  58. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    This is a massive happening.

    Hope they get their people out and any offensive equipment about the flood line.

  59. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    ziggers now claim that it broke up on its own

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      >what sort of standards are these dams built to?
      >oh, very rigorous civil-engineering standards

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        >What kind of standards?
        >Well paper's out.
        >Cardboard?
        >No cardboard
        >Wood?
        >Well, maybe a beaver dam, but not our dams.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          >so what happened in this case?
          >well the front fell off in this case by all means, but it's very unusual
          >but Comrade Colonel Kleptovich, why did the front fall off?
          >a bomb hit the dam
          >a bomb hit the dam? is that unusual?
          >in a warzone? chance in a million

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      There were actually some photos of sluice gates opened to vent huge amounts of water, and reservoir levels were at a 30 year high. Could poor maintenance have caused a collapse? Possibly.
      The timing and the changing Russian responses argue that deliberate Russian detonation is a lot more likely.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        Maybe they tried to vent more water to thwart Ukrainian attempts to cross the river and it back fired.

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          See the chart here:

          [...]

          They drained the reservoir abnormally low, then filled it to dangerously high levels. Negligence would have been bad enough, but this was done intentionally.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            It happened like this:
            >Blyat Ivan, the pumps for the Crimea canal are pizdyec, how will we send water to Crimean banan farms now cyka debil?
            >Do not worry comrade Boris, I have developed ingenious solution to our current predicament using my powerful engineering mind
            >you see my freind, the canal is fed from that lake over there, which is controlled by the dam
            >all we need do is close gates on dam, let her fill up until water level is higher than pumps and boom, water to canal is restored!

  60. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    >/k/ is mad
    Sounds like the ziggers are winning again.

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      This act only really endangers civilians. Black person apes like yourself wouldn't get it.

      • 11 months ago
        Anonymous

        actually, strategically speaking it also endangers the Russian position since as the (ostensible) attackers in this war they can no longer threaten Ukrainian forces from the south and now Crimea's water supply is severely diminished

        • 11 months ago
          Anonymous

          Realistically, Russia was never going to retake Ukraine. I'm sure the Russian MoD won't lose any sleep over not being able to easily shell Kherson city anymore. Especially when doing such an act can potentially throw a wrench into Ukrainian plans. Again, CIVILIANS in Crimea and Kherson Oblast are the only ones majorly directly effected.

          • 11 months ago
            Anonymous

            >Realistically, Russia was never going to retake Ukraine
            That's not what they thought at the start though, eh? But yeah. This still proves they are totally out of gas when it comes to offensive capability and have no faith whatsoever in their defenses holding out even against a Ukrainian amphibious crossing. Because yeah, sure, they can now move their forces over to more likely avenues of attack...but so can the Ukrainians. They must be stretched majorly thin or dangerously low on morale (probably both) if their plan to resist this offensive seems to boil down to just stacking mobiks as thick as possible.

  61. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    Here we go, the first western news stories

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-russia-blows-up-major-nova-kakhovka-dam-southern-ukraine-2023-06-06/
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/jun/06/russia-ukraine-war-live-dam-near-kherson-blown-up-by-russian-forces-ukrainian-military-says
    https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/06/europe/ukraine-nova-kakhovka-dam-breach-intl-hnk/index.html
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/06/06/ukraine-russia-war-latest-counter-offensive-kakhovka-dam/
    https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230606-%F0%9F%94%B4-live-ukraine-says-russian-forces-blew-up-nova-kakhova-dam-in-kherson-region

    • 11 months ago
      Anonymous

      Ahh. Europe finally woke up. Got their first ciggie and espresso to go with jam and muffins. I say, let's turn the Internets and see what shit monke shat out overnight. Such a rigorous, thankless job. Absolutely brutal. Normies will never understand how brutal.

  62. 11 months ago
    Anonymous

    inb4 NATO brings in humanitarian forces.

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