Why the increased rate of abandoned equipment by Russia in the last few months?
>https://github.com/leedrake5/Russia-Ukraine
Why the increased rate of abandoned equipment by Russia in the last few months?
Why the increased rate of abandoned equipment by Russia in the last few months?
>https://github.com/leedrake5/Russia-Ukraine
Mobiks without training running away and or dieing at first contact.
this poor trainning and morale
That, plus at this point they're dipping into the really old soviet stocks of vehicles. Some of these guys might be riding around in the same BMPs that their grandfathers rode in, and I'm sure all that time hasn't done these vehicles any favors. My guess is a lot of them are just breaking down and being abandoned.
I've understood that mobiks have been a large part of the Russian army in Ukraine for a way longer time than just the ~4 recent months
Russia wasn't on the offensive until ~4 months ago
Haven't even noticed Russia being on the offensive. But this sound plausible. Just an increased amount of attacks by Russia without the front changing much, leading to more abandoned equipment again
So youve somehow missed all the fun at Avdiivka and Synkivka that have been going on these last 4 months? They saga of the White Bradley and the siege of the trash heap?
I've been somewhat aware of it all, but it hasn't really seen like much of a big push really
Congratulations, you've now realized that is Russia's total offensive ability.
I thought that was a concentrated attack, not an offensive, but I suppose it would explain why they tried Vuhledar again
The officers pretty much treat them like slave cattle during peacetime, even using them to wash their own personal cars and shit
you mean since last january?
some relevant context for the graph is russia annexed the donbabwe a luhansk regions along with some others in september 2022 which makes them russian now
which also means the can deploy conscripts on the front lines in those regions because according to russian law conscripts can only be used defensively
afaik anyways
They aren't using conscripts but mobilized reservists, these are former servicemen that due to doing military or paramilitary service became part of the general reserve, not conscripts.
Because a conscripted general reservist who was part of the RU military 25 years ago is still a "conscript" people use it without regard to other, more typical types of conscripts like the soon-to-be 18 year olds that will do their yearly conscription this year. Those can only be deployed inside Russia proper and with a declaration of war.
theyre using both and they started the war with large amounts of conscripts for logistics
No, they aren't because you need a declaration of war to deploy actual conscripts. This is one of the biggest problems for manpower with Russians. There was conscripts at the very start, yes, and when it was discovered it was a big deal, so big that Putin personally intervened to get the conscripts out and apologized.
Why do you think the officers getting killed these days are people like this?
>Why do you think the officers getting killed these days are people like this?
theyre demographics are absolutely fricked
Now is the perfect time to get yourself a 60yo Russian Baba gf
That guy was an oncologist that was mobilized due to having done military or paramilitary service decades ago.
Like this guy, he got mobilized because as a former MVD Lt Colonel years ago he was part of the general reserve.
FPBP
Seconded. Imagine the US losing a thousand Bradleys invading Mexico. Footage of Mexican drones hitting American tanks, infantry, trucks day after day. Missile strikes on Houston and D.C. 500,000 casualties in an avoidable war of aggression. Carriers sinking, Mexican counter-offensive into “Neuvo New Mexico”, Amazon warehouse burning down. And all this with no draft riots or war protests.
Or they burn the fuel on purpose so they don’t have to ride into battle.
They have a LOT of armor hulks, though. Like a LOT. An amount for WWIII. Even if they’re only farming the graveyards and refurbishing old T-62’s, they’re better than nothing and life is irrelevant to Russian doctrine.
General Winter went rogue
whats the little bar graph at the bottom?
Seems to be just the individual daily counts of abandoned equipments, while the main graph shows these numbers added together over time
Daily counts of new or removed entries into the data set. Any red/blue on the bottom of the bar are removals due to duplications while the bar at the top is additions. Basically any spike on top is a bad day for whatever color it is.
maybe they are pushing their attacks harder? they wind up leaving more gear for ukes when they counter attack.
>total
>graph goes down
that makes no sense
It’s just 4 big drops with a steady rise between them. So it’s probably just corrections where they remove duplicates and other incorrect information.
Reclaimed gear?
This data is taken from the Oryx team. They constantly correct their data if a double count or an error is found. Sometimes they find their errors themselves, sometimes others notify them of the errors.
>Winter
>Fricked Logistics
>Morale continues to drop.
I'm more surprised Russia still has an army after two years of this shit.
Or, hear me out, there's more vehicle kills posted because the Russians have more and there's very often more infantry in them.
The light skinned vehicle losses are almost guaranteed multiple people wounded as opposed to the odd one guy, this doesn't mean Russians are "getting more infantry kills" lmao.
>Or, hear me out, there's more vehicle kills posted because the Russians have more and there's very often more infantry in them.
Yes, but what it does mean is that a y:x vehicle loss ratio does not equal a y:x manpower loss.
What has NATO "bracing for conflict" got to do with Ukraine anon.
lack of fuel
soldiers use fuel. bad soldiers use more fuel than they should. and bad soldiers with low moral trapped in a frozen hellscape use so much fuel that they aren't given any after a while because there is none to give.
The rate of increase is merely a proxy, tracking the increase is shit soldiers and bad weather.
Is that the Dungeon Meshi Anime ending credits?
I would assume them continuing to culminate maintenance wise.
Only so many mechanics, so many repair parts, so many recovery vehicles, etc…
they switched from meat waves back to canned meat waves for now
Degradation in the quality of training, poor morale and I'm guessing the proliferation of turret toss videos etc.
ok but the ukraine has no. industrial capacity to recover let alone use these “abandoned” vehicles. It is functionally the same as putting them in cold storage and thus should not be counting as battlefield losses
>ok but the ukraine has no. industrial capacity to recover let alone use these “abandoned” vehicles
that is strange as they operate and repair thousands of very similar/identical vehicles already
Sorry, outdated cope.
Actually, the graph isn't bad for Russia because they're destroying all the Ukranians equipment before they have time to abandon it, creating the illusion that Russia is a 3rd world peasant army.
America plans ahead for bad scenarios. If Russia had done that they might actually have taken Kyiv instead of losing the 1st GTA and the cream of their special forces crop in a cowardly and humiliating retreat.
>filename
fricking hell I spit out my coffee
That's not a fair comparison.
How is a country supposed to prepare for a land invasion when money is tight and they HAVE to maintain multiple fleets and the largest nuclear arsenal in the world.
Because without all that shit plus an aircraft carrier and "5th gen" fighter program, how can Russia pretend to be a superpower?
Obligatory.
Stuff breaks more in the cold. Stuff breaks more when it is older than it has ever been, which is now.
I don't complain.
offensives underway please understanding. you cannot make stew without some dead rabbit.
Why's there a decrease from July till December? They recovered so much equipment? This is a cumulative graph, innit?
some is recategorized from abandoned equipment to captured and others to destroyed
Christmas is the time of goodwill gestures.
do the Ukies ever sell any battlefield salvage they bring back online? Not like weapons or explosives or anything, but like a fricked up Russian helmet would make a cool decoration
Yes, I follow several mlitaria accounts on instagram of Americans showing the stuff they buy.
This one sells them from Ukraine but it hasn't been updated for some months.
https://www.instagram.com/sm_trophies/
I haven't seen anyone address the first thing I thought of. Russia has lost a LOT of armor. Equipment losses are reaching or have surpassed the entire initial force Russia had slotted for the invasion.
All their "good" shit was put up for this, and most of that is gone now. All that's left is barely maintained garbage that has been sitting in the weather for 30+ years. Russian equipment is actively getting worse with every loss. Their shit is breaking down.
Silly wectoid, mighty PUCCIA is sitting on stockpile of tens (TENS!) of Armatas. As soon as Putin raises the eyebrow, they will deploy and everyone will understand everything.
vehicles get older and break down more often while attacks get more desperate,
also: drones!