Belarussian military in 2024

I present to you an article about the current state of the Belarussian military and if either it or Russia are secretly gathering forces to launch another drive on Kyiv in 2 weeks time
https://frontelligence.substack.com/p/lingering-menace-military-transformations
It's not long and really worth a read, but some key points:
>Belarussian military budget tripled in the past 5 years, but it's still below 2% of their GDP
>This extra money wasn't spent on hardware acquisition or modernization, but rather training exercises and modernizing the mobilization system
>Said exercises focused on UAV operations and camouflage against UAVs
>Belarus setup a new operational command on the Ukrainian border in 2022, but they've done nothing with it besides starting building a tiny military base that won't be finished for another several years
>They've also built 2 (TWO) kilometre-long defensive line on the Ukrainian border which covers around 0.2% of the entire border
>Some of the Su-30s they've recently purchased actually arrived
>Russian presence in Belarus is limited mostly to a few AD units and instructors
>Wagner remnants are still in Belarus training internal security troops how to shoot protesters
>Potential for involvement in Ukraine? Lol lmao

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  1. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    Hopefully Bypol shits on them from the inside

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      Western donors cut donations to bypol after that AWACS blew in Belarus. It's all a joke.

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        That's lame, the AWACS attack was hilarious

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        That's lame, the AWACS attack was hilarious

        Hopefully Bypol shits on them from the inside

        qrd?

        • 3 months ago
          Anonymous

          >The Association of Security Forces of Belarus (Belarusian: Aб'яднaннe ciлaвiкoў Бeлapyci, romanized: Abiadnannie silavikou Bielarusi), also known as BYPOL, is a Belarusian organization that was created by former employees of law enforcement agencies to counter the Belarusian authorities. The association has channels on YouTube and Telegram, on which it publishes various videos related to the security forces, and also doxes law enforcement officers.

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYPOL

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        I don't understand, why would westerners stop donating after they pulled off successful partisan activity? I'm not even saying I don't believe you, but I can't follow the logic chain. Do you have more info?

  2. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    *puke*
    compare that with chinese

    [...]

    .
    the absolute state of yurotrash.

  3. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    I love Lukashenko so much he's such a great grifter.

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      I like to see how many milliseconds it takes for him to start sucking western wiener once Putin is gone.

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        the moment power structure that putin built around himself collapses lukashenko will have to declare martial law, if his internal security wont prove loyal when it happens he is a dead man walking

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        If Putin is gone and is replaced by anything other than the same kind of dictator Luka is dead and he knows it.

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      This I unironically hopes he makes it out alright
      He's a survivor

  4. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    Any country’s military with
    >palace guards
    >military parades
    >authoritarian leadership

    Sucks due to
    >design to quell rebellions rather than fight
    >focus on aesthetics
    >centralization for control

    See: Saddam’s Iraq, Russia, Libya, etc.

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      Looks like all militaries suck, then.

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      Only country that is exempt from this is Germany...
      Either moronic
      Or krout

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      Post Avdeevka

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        Not really the W youd like shill, losing 35k dudes over a waste pile 3 miles from the starting point of the war 2 years ago

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      idk, iraq did pretty well in the iran war.

  5. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    Oh great, are we going to see Diet Russians pissing about near Pripyat digging in the radioactive soil again?

  6. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    I just want to know if they wear wool pantys?

  7. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    Why was it "easier" in Russia eyes to take over Ukraine lands instead of Belarus lands first? Why didn't Russia take all of Belarus first?

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      After Putin bailed Luka out of the 2020 election protests, he's a fully owned asset. They don't really need to invade, because Luka already has to do Putin's bidding, like allowing the invasion through their border, hosting nukes, etc. But at the same time, Putin is the only thing keeping Luka alive. When the Wagner mutiny started, the Belarusian Legion in Ukraine was ready to kick off the revolution, and they probably would have succeeded.

      I'm really hoping that they get their chance to overthrow Luka if something happens with Putin. I have some Belarusian friends and they deserve better. And the people really want him out, they had like 40% of their population participating in the protests back in 2020.

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        Belarus, for whatever reason, has a higher average IQ than Russia or Ukraine. Makes sense, given that the only businesses I've ever seen or interacted with there are all manufacturing and IT.

        • 3 months ago
          Anonymous

          I don't believe that for a second when Wargaming is Belarusian and the absolute state of modern world of warships speaks for itself

          • 3 months ago
            Anonymous

            WoT was made in Belarus, WoWP was made in Kyiev and WoWS was made in St. Petersburg

      • 3 months ago
        Anonymous

        Belarus, for whatever reason, has a higher average IQ than Russia or Ukraine. Makes sense, given that the only businesses I've ever seen or interacted with there are all manufacturing and IT.

        I find it amusing how Belarus's local population went from wanting to be part of Russia to despising it within a few years of the war.

  8. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    >the current state of the Belarussian military and if either it or Russia are secretly gathering forces to launch another drive on Kyiv in 2 weeks time
    This shit again

  9. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    If anyone is still somehow thinking that the Belarusian military will get involved in Ukraine, it's 0%. They will refuse to go and are more likely to start a rebellion at home than actually go serve. Lukashenko knows that, which is why he's made such a concerted effort to keep them from being involved.

  10. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    6th from the left or 3rd from the right please.

  11. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    >Some of the Su-30s they've recently purchased actually arrived
    russia will be needing those back

  12. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    if putin decided to pull off his final pobeda and annex belarus to make it the 47th oblast, would luka's army even put up a fight?

    • 3 months ago
      Anonymous

      I think they would. When there were rumors about them possibly being involved in Ukraine, there were high-ranking Belarusian officers specifically telling the rank-and-file to abandon their posts if ordered into Ukraine, so the discontent is high. And the one thing Lukashenko can tide them over with right now is that he's kept them from being annexed. If that goes away, I really do believe it'd be civil war at the least.

      Belarus has spent a lot of its history outside of Russia (as part of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, for example) and every time things have been good for them, the Russians have come in and ruined it. There's a lot less love for Russia there than people think.

  13. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    >tiny pictures outside of a pic of a football homosexual
    >everything else is a wall of text
    Thread is gay. De-gay it now.

  14. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    He's going to rush Moldova

  15. 3 months ago
    Anonymous

    Luka ain't gonna do shit. His main concern is to not get gadaffi'd nor prigozhin'd. His army is for internal use only.

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