What's preventing China from invading Taiwan?

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  1. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    Anti ship missiles. Taiwan straits would become bugman soup if they tried to cross. They dont have a way to actually move the needed troops and equipment.

    • 1 month ago
      Anonymous

      >You can take it, but you can't have it.

      Modern economies are so delicate and large that, even given a modicum of Taiwanese resistance, they'd get frick all even if they took it. The US would provide massive subsidies and citizenship opportunities to allow for the greatest brain drain possible.

      • 1 month ago
        Anonymous

        >Modern economies are so delicate and large
        same cope was huffed before WW1
        >war in euro is impossibry! TEH ECONOMIES are too connected!!
        when time came war was on the table and teh economies adopted because they are not static but actively reconfigurable. Same thing will happen when chinks get too uppity. All business lost there will find a new playground elsewhere

        • 1 month ago
          Anonymous

          How is pre-ww1 and our world order even remotely similar? First off most major participants were monarchies that didn't care about the mandate of the people that much, even in China people have more recourse

          • 1 month ago
            Anonymous

            Shh let the moron dream in peace, for the historical illiterate idiots war and society hasn't changed a lick 100+ years if you were to belive them, kek.

          • 1 month ago
            Anonymous

            Germany was a democracy. So were France and UK. I'm sure China and Russia are great democracies that cares about the mandate of the people.

          • 1 month ago
            Anonymous

            >we are simply so much better than our ancestors.. I mean its LITERALLY been 11 decades
            Zoomies have gone insane..

        • 1 month ago
          Anonymous

          >All business lost there will find a new playground elsewhere
          You cannot relocate a billion dollar chip fab overnight. They are so fragile loss of power for a few seconds can destroy months of production.

        • 1 month ago
          Anonymous

          I'm aware of the similarities, but you should listen or read Kotkin some time. It's as important to win the peace as win the war, and there's no way for the PRC to win the peace in Taiwan. Look at Germany, Japan, South Korea and Vietnam. All countries where the West won the peace after the war, and now you have very rich pro western powerhouses.

  2. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    the sea

  3. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    escalators

  4. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    Taiwan has had 70+ years to prepare for it, it would be a bloodbath. China probably has noticed how shit the Russian military turned out to be in Ukraine that they are worried for themselves. They have all the same corruption issues Russia has if not more.

  5. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    China can't exist without the West

    • 1 month ago
      Anonymous

      The opposite, its the west that is dependent on China for everything.

      • 1 month ago
        Anonymous

        It's a co-dependent relationship, but China needs the west more than the west needs China. The west cuts ties with China, the west will suffer one of the worst economic crises of it's entire history and will take decades to repair the damage, but China will suffer from mass starvation not seem since the days of Mao and millions will die on top of their economy crashing.

        • 1 month ago
          Anonymous

          Theres not a single thing that China imports from the west that it can’t import from elsewhere. Same goes for the rest of the world, the west stops existing and no vital items will be missing unlike if China collapsed

      • 1 month ago
        Anonymous

        The collapse of Wal-Mart will surely destroy the west!

  6. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    >What's preventing China from invading Taiwan?
    Weather. Wait for April/October

  7. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    rational thinking

  8. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    - They would need to build an invasion fleet first
    - They couldn't hide an invasion fleet
    - It's still far away that China that their supply lines could be attacked and make blockading a quagmire
    - Taiwan is very well defended and China don't have a technological advantage, only a numerical advantage
    - Taiwan would immediately declare independence, which everyone know to be the real situation except on a paper, once official, other countries can defend Taiwan as they wish
    - Since China terrirtory isn't actually threatened, China would have to be the one shooting the first nuke in an offensive manner
    - Taiwan supply a lot of the worlds computer chips, the superpower are finally building their own production lines but they would lose the support of other countries during the long blockade
    - China is very dependent on a lot of occidental product in their economy, granted China are the only one with a will to change that.
    - Trying to subvert Taiwan democratic government and get pro-China pawn in power through mass-media manipulation is a far more feasible and economical plan, the easiest and most efficient plan in fact

    • 1 month ago
      Anonymous

      Also note that there's like a fricking handful of beaches available for landings anyway, most of the Taiwanese west coast is pretty shallow water for miles and miles, and the east coast is full of cliffs. Taiwan is fully aware which positions will be used as landing ground and has taken preparations on those locations for decades by now.

      • 1 month ago
        Anonymous

        Let's expand past that. If China can get a foothold on those beaches it's gruesome urban combat ala Mariupol for months at minimum and then jungles and mountains which have prepared defenses for a long war worked into them. China would likely also have to deal with India and its other neighbors who have border disputes taking advantage of the war for their own ends, and potentially even another round of ethnic uprisings in the west of the country if troops get pulled from there to reinforce the invasion.

    • 1 month ago
      Anonymous

      >be anon
      >think im le super smart
      >write 100 things out of my ass
      >forget that china gets 80% of their shit which could be blockaded easily
      which is the only fricking reason they dont do it.
      what is this shit board

    • 1 month ago
      Anonymous

      >Trying to subvert Taiwan democratic government and get pro-China pawn in power through mass-media manipulation is a far more feasible and economical plan, the easiest and most efficient plan in fact
      Indeed

    • 1 month ago
      Anonymous

      >Trying to subvert Taiwan democratic government and get pro-China pawn in power through mass-media manipulation is a far more feasible and economical plan, the easiest and most efficient plan in fact
      Indeed

      Absolutely not. This ship has sailed.

  9. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    Him.

  10. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    China isn't interested in war.

  11. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    Prepping for attacking Russia, Taiwan is a misdirection for internal propaganda consumption to excuse increased military spending. Zhangs know attacking Taiwan will fricking obliterate them via a financial crash even before their tin cans get into missile range.
    They have unsettled disputes with long history of butthurt, Siberia's got resources for the economy, a market for chinese goods, blonde women for ricecels so their offspring can pay for chinese boomers, they could score brownie points with their western spoonfeeders AND mostly because now it's easier than ever. Even rusoid fifth column troglodytes like the Incelord Tate are switching to wumao mode.

  12. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    did you miss the whole news about their missile forces being outed as fake? there's a good chance the rest of their military is like that as well. capturing taiwan would is honestly a no brainer move that should be very easy to pull off, IF they actually have the numbers they claimed that is

  13. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    They own it already. They just have to keep waiting until they can officially call it theirs. The west can't defend it, the voters are sympathetic to China, so why go to war?

    • 1 month ago
      Anonymous

      Which voters? Also they do already officially call it theirs, you stupid idiot

  14. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    >What’s stopping China from…?
    China is stopping China. The problem is that the PLA is in no shape for actual combat deployment, let alone an invasion across a large body of water. Those military exercises represent their full operational capability, because that’s the only thing they train for. Everything else they do is propaganda and other make-work.

  15. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    They might have to go for it soon before their bubble economy pops. Winnie's tight handedness has fricked over all of Deng's gains and Hong Kong besides.

    https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/1/26/in-hong-kong-decades-of-wealth-gains-evaporate-on-beijings-watch

  16. 1 month ago
    Anonymous

    Widespread corruption and graft within the military
    The fact that the military is all theater to keep their domestic entertained/cowed
    The fact that the military is mostly party politics rather than actual war fighting competence
    The gross incompetence of the People’s Liberation Army Navy and their naval tradition of sucking at war
    Western supplied AShMs, SAMs, and EW capes
    The innate difficulty of an amphibious invasion
    The threat of western intervention
    The threat of western sanctions
    The inability of Chinese missile forces and anti air forces to protect their homeland in the event that Taiwan or its partners/allies start shooting back
    The inability of the Chinese MIC to produce anything that isn’t a complete sham, from rifles to planes
    Inferiority of Chinese intelligence/surveillance/reconnaissance capes

    Take your pick

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