Ukraine is going to launch pressure attacks at the melitopol, kherson and svatove axis as well as reinforce bakmut and vuhledar.
They they are going to launch a full force two pronged attack on berdiansk and the border city in ukraine where the starobilsk railway passes through north of svatove.
They are then going to push out to a defensivle boundary, dig in, and allow Russia's now trainless logistics in western zaporiznia, kherson, crimea and western luhansk to do their job for them.
By years end either crimea or the luhansk oblast will be near completely under ukie control
>”people” unironically think that spamming wojak is a BTFO
Really sad. I know you’re just going to greentext my post next to another basedjack or just reply to my post with one. Even though I called it out you’ll do it, because you’re that lazy and predictable. KYS you waste of semen
1. Russia has a massive reliance on railways for their logistics to the point that they are basically fucked without them.
2. Ukraine always telegraphs an attack at A, B or C (Typically highly valued targets) and then go for a completely different target. Hard targets they instead isolate and starve.
3. Svatove cannot be held without railways. Staroblisk cannot be held without railways. Take out the railway, the entirity of north-west Luhansk collapses under its own logistical weight.
4. By making the Azov sea impassible, blowing up the Kerch bridge properly and cutting the land bridge (all 3 things that would happen if they have Berdiansk), the handful of shitty black sea ports Russia have will not be able to both supply the entire populace of Crimea AND give the army supplies as well.
Taking this to its logical conclusion, if Ukraine would make these its counter assault goals, it would avoid fighting at any "fortresses" like Bakhmut, Maruipol, Melitopol and Kremina like half the strats here suggest, something Ukraine avoids like the plague and seems to be Russia's most persistent strategic blunder.
And looking at the Russian defences and Ukraines capability, Bilmak -> Berdiansk and Troitske -> Lozno would be ideal targets. In the path there, there aren't any large Russian army groups, with the primary forces in Zaporiznia being kept at the Melitopol direction and the Vuhledar direction, and with satelite confirmed defenses being noticably less in the center towards Bilmak. It is the only section that doesn't have several towns that would break up the offensive in the way, and from ukie territory to Berdiansk from this angle would pretty much be flat, open ground with very few rivers; the ideal circumstances for a massed mechanized infantry formation. And in the north, you'll see this exact situation; the focus is defence in Svatove and offense in Kremina.
So the big war ending counterattack is an amphibious operation to cross at the NPP where the russians least expect it and where can't shoot back out of fear of hitting the NPP circumventing the fortifications. Genius. Serb bro has connected the dots. Quick, tell the russians!
i honestly dont get the "enerhodar to melitopol" theory. it would just be easier to go by land and cut off the land bridge, which would make the rest of kherson incredibly precarious, moreso than kherson the city was.
>i honestly dont get the "enerhodar to melitopol" theory. it would just be easier to go by land and cut off the land bridge, which would make the rest of kherson incredibly precarious, moreso than kherson the city was.
There are advantages to both approaches. Taking the river down to the neck of Crimea would push Russian artillery back enough to allow for the establishment of new bridges, shortening resupply and allow for reinforcement from all that shit they've got set up to defend Kherson, but until those connections are made Ukrainian forces would be operating further afield and exposed to well supplied sorties from Crimea and Melitopol.
I think it's the smarter plan, but there's potential merit in jamming up the Russians at Melitopol directly. Siege would be hard since relief forces would be coming from both directions and the city's heavily defended and reinforced, but it's the nearest major target after Enerhodar, so it's easiest on Ukrainian logistics as well. Also there's been reports of partisans in the area the entire war that Ukraine could link up with.
There's also the yolo plan of just gunning for Berdyansk and taking down the bridge down completely from there and then sweeping west towards Melitopol, but that'd require them weather a lot of bullshit from east and west. The advantage that plan has is you finish cutting off a major source of supply form Melitopol's west while completely cutting it off form the east, weakening it even further than simply taking its connection with Crimea first. It also softens up Crimea well in advance of any assaults there and basically makes the entire southern operation squishier.
So you're somehow taking some youtube vatnik cocksucker's assertions at face value and then inflicting your brain damage on other people. What gives? Imagine how much easier it would be to just have a nice day.
>Russian military blogger Romanov confirms Ukrainian forces 'penetrated 1.5km deep into defensive Russian positions'.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1653435184950149131?s=20
Well the Russian fortifications don't have any depth to them so when the shitty tremches get overrun they either need to fight on the field or retreat to cities and villages.
>Russian military blogger Romanov confirms Ukrainian forces 'penetrated 1.5km deep into defensive Russian positions'.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1653435184950149131?s=20
Retard here, why do they need to cross the Dniper in the first place? They already control the vast majority of territory to the east of the river to begin with.
Because th ey don't really control it, it was a few squads of infantry at most and I believe they were already pushed out. Most likely a probing operation.
To do anything significant they need bridges to bring ifvs and Armour through
Since Russia is expecting a Ukrainian counter-offensive and everyone's been talking about it for months, Ukraine should pull back from Bakhmut and put pressure elsewhere. Let Russia concentrate their forces to take Bakhmut while Ukraine takes the opportunity to take land where it's less defended. Bakhmut is barren now so let Russia hold it for a year and waste more resources there or get tired of it.
The issue is, if Russia would fall for it. Russian officers have been begging to go on the defensive, so long as Bakhmut keeps dangling in front of them, Monke will keep sending them.
I once saw a photo of this guy's video list and it's nothing of him saying "Russia is about to take Bakmut" for like 6 months. He's always making shocked faces in ever thumbnail. He's been shocked that Russia about to take Bakmut for months on end.
as much as i wish that was the case (as it would be an incredible move to pull successfully) i think its very unlikely.
amphibious assaults are extremely delicate, it would be a really big gamble and i dont think they'd be willing to risk that much.
the egyptians did it but they didnt have any other choice, it was either crossing the suez canal or not attacking at all.
what's more likely is that they'll push from the central front north of melitopol/mariupol, and use the bridging equipment to shorten the supply chain as they expand to the south-west, maybe keep one brigade in reserve ready to cross the dnipr and support a push that's already in progress.
also he talks about the bradley being amphibious but that hasnt been a thing for decades, the feature was dropped early on and im pretty sure the variants sent cannot mount them.
Why the fuck is every one of these cunts the same? >I just don't like NATO bro, I just want peace bro*
*Peace as defined in this context means ceding territory to Russia or straight up the Russians planting a puppet government in Ukraine.
We're currently at Bargaining, in the 5 Stages of Arguing with a Vatnik. Some are already in Depression, but their western mouth pieces are a little behind.
What are Serbs like, are there any among them embarrassed by this pervasive meme of their countrymen fondling Russia, and each being a flat earth tier person?
fuck off retard your videos are shit
>Thoughts?
New soijak face just dropped.
Reality is another bunch of massacred russian tanks? Acceptable.
He must spend hours in front of the mirror trying out new faces.
has this guy ever been right. i mean even a broken clock is right twice a day
How many dicks can this guy fit in his mouth at once?
he is a serbian. He's trained with bottles his entire life. You could probably drive a truck up his ass.
Checked quads of unfortunate choice of masturbatory aid
>he is a serbian
Of course he is
I'm pretty sure he's French-Canadian; he's from Montreal, Canada. Hence his ghastly accent.
I heard him reading Serbo-Croatian names in his latest video and it sounded pretty 'natural" but I could be wrong.
I live near Quebec and Quebeccers while sounding weird don't sound like that. He's got more of a balkans stink to his accent.
Why would Ukraine put their backs up against the river
Why is Will Wheaton shilling for Russia?
Why the fuck is he doing the Patrick Bateman point and facial expression?
Get this soi faced vatnick dicksucker off my board
[YOUTUBE THUMBNAIL FACE.]
Screencap this:
Ukraine is going to launch pressure attacks at the melitopol, kherson and svatove axis as well as reinforce bakmut and vuhledar.
They they are going to launch a full force two pronged attack on berdiansk and the border city in ukraine where the starobilsk railway passes through north of svatove.
They are then going to push out to a defensivle boundary, dig in, and allow Russia's now trainless logistics in western zaporiznia, kherson, crimea and western luhansk to do their job for them.
By years end either crimea or the luhansk oblast will be near completely under ukie control
>”people” unironically think that spamming wojak is a BTFO
Really sad. I know you’re just going to greentext my post next to another basedjack or just reply to my post with one. Even though I called it out you’ll do it, because you’re that lazy and predictable. KYS you waste of semen
It’s the morning shift. They don’t send their best for midnight in America. Why know the language when you can just post a propaganda face
>Make retarded improbable claim
>Why are you laughing at me?
Explain how the claim is retarded and improbable in greater detail, and try to leave out "muh nukes" for this one.
Wasn't me.
But why is it improbable.
Consider the following:
1. Russia has a massive reliance on railways for their logistics to the point that they are basically fucked without them.
2. Ukraine always telegraphs an attack at A, B or C (Typically highly valued targets) and then go for a completely different target. Hard targets they instead isolate and starve.
3. Svatove cannot be held without railways. Staroblisk cannot be held without railways. Take out the railway, the entirity of north-west Luhansk collapses under its own logistical weight.
4. By making the Azov sea impassible, blowing up the Kerch bridge properly and cutting the land bridge (all 3 things that would happen if they have Berdiansk), the handful of shitty black sea ports Russia have will not be able to both supply the entire populace of Crimea AND give the army supplies as well.
Taking this to its logical conclusion, if Ukraine would make these its counter assault goals, it would avoid fighting at any "fortresses" like Bakhmut, Maruipol, Melitopol and Kremina like half the strats here suggest, something Ukraine avoids like the plague and seems to be Russia's most persistent strategic blunder.
And looking at the Russian defences and Ukraines capability, Bilmak -> Berdiansk and Troitske -> Lozno would be ideal targets. In the path there, there aren't any large Russian army groups, with the primary forces in Zaporiznia being kept at the Melitopol direction and the Vuhledar direction, and with satelite confirmed defenses being noticably less in the center towards Bilmak. It is the only section that doesn't have several towns that would break up the offensive in the way, and from ukie territory to Berdiansk from this angle would pretty much be flat, open ground with very few rivers; the ideal circumstances for a massed mechanized infantry formation. And in the north, you'll see this exact situation; the focus is defence in Svatove and offense in Kremina.
r/wojak lost
So the big war ending counterattack is an amphibious operation to cross at the NPP where the russians least expect it and where can't shoot back out of fear of hitting the NPP circumventing the fortifications. Genius. Serb bro has connected the dots. Quick, tell the russians!
i honestly dont get the "enerhodar to melitopol" theory. it would just be easier to go by land and cut off the land bridge, which would make the rest of kherson incredibly precarious, moreso than kherson the city was.
>i honestly dont get the "enerhodar to melitopol" theory. it would just be easier to go by land and cut off the land bridge, which would make the rest of kherson incredibly precarious, moreso than kherson the city was.
There are advantages to both approaches. Taking the river down to the neck of Crimea would push Russian artillery back enough to allow for the establishment of new bridges, shortening resupply and allow for reinforcement from all that shit they've got set up to defend Kherson, but until those connections are made Ukrainian forces would be operating further afield and exposed to well supplied sorties from Crimea and Melitopol.
I think it's the smarter plan, but there's potential merit in jamming up the Russians at Melitopol directly. Siege would be hard since relief forces would be coming from both directions and the city's heavily defended and reinforced, but it's the nearest major target after Enerhodar, so it's easiest on Ukrainian logistics as well. Also there's been reports of partisans in the area the entire war that Ukraine could link up with.
There's also the yolo plan of just gunning for Berdyansk and taking down the bridge down completely from there and then sweeping west towards Melitopol, but that'd require them weather a lot of bullshit from east and west. The advantage that plan has is you finish cutting off a major source of supply form Melitopol's west while completely cutting it off form the east, weakening it even further than simply taking its connection with Crimea first. It also softens up Crimea well in advance of any assaults there and basically makes the entire southern operation squishier.
gg slava ukraini, zelensky wins brosss
You're embarrassing.
serb bro is right, its gonna be an amphibious landing
So you're somehow taking some youtube vatnik cocksucker's assertions at face value and then inflicting your brain damage on other people. What gives? Imagine how much easier it would be to just have a nice day.
u mad?
u 12?
How is it going?
>Russian military blogger Romanov confirms Ukrainian forces 'penetrated 1.5km deep into defensive Russian positions'.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1653435184950149131?s=20
>1.5km deep
oh wew we better call it a war lads time to pack up and retreat out of the Donbass
Well the Russian fortifications don't have any depth to them so when the shitty tremches get overrun they either need to fight on the field or retreat to cities and villages.
See:
?t=420
Retard here, why do they need to cross the Dniper in the first place? They already control the vast majority of territory to the east of the river to begin with.
Why do anything amphibious?
Because th ey don't really control it, it was a few squads of infantry at most and I believe they were already pushed out. Most likely a probing operation.
To do anything significant they need bridges to bring ifvs and Armour through
Are you stupid?
What's stupid about what I just said?
holy shit bros, a water attack? putin is finished
Since Russia is expecting a Ukrainian counter-offensive and everyone's been talking about it for months, Ukraine should pull back from Bakhmut and put pressure elsewhere. Let Russia concentrate their forces to take Bakhmut while Ukraine takes the opportunity to take land where it's less defended. Bakhmut is barren now so let Russia hold it for a year and waste more resources there or get tired of it.
The issue is, if Russia would fall for it. Russian officers have been begging to go on the defensive, so long as Bakhmut keeps dangling in front of them, Monke will keep sending them.
Why does he look like some mysterymeat mongoloid?
>This guy's stupid videos again
?t=40
I once saw a photo of this guy's video list and it's nothing of him saying "Russia is about to take Bakmut" for like 6 months. He's always making shocked faces in ever thumbnail. He's been shocked that Russia about to take Bakmut for months on end.
"But dood the basedface totally helps with getting views!"
Youre not getting any views from me, fuck off.
as much as i wish that was the case (as it would be an incredible move to pull successfully) i think its very unlikely.
amphibious assaults are extremely delicate, it would be a really big gamble and i dont think they'd be willing to risk that much.
the egyptians did it but they didnt have any other choice, it was either crossing the suez canal or not attacking at all.
what's more likely is that they'll push from the central front north of melitopol/mariupol, and use the bridging equipment to shorten the supply chain as they expand to the south-west, maybe keep one brigade in reserve ready to cross the dnipr and support a push that's already in progress.
also he talks about the bradley being amphibious but that hasnt been a thing for decades, the feature was dropped early on and im pretty sure the variants sent cannot mount them.
Why the fuck is every one of these cunts the same?
>I just don't like NATO bro, I just want peace bro*
*Peace as defined in this context means ceding territory to Russia or straight up the Russians planting a puppet government in Ukraine.
We're currently at Bargaining, in the 5 Stages of Arguing with a Vatnik. Some are already in Depression, but their western mouth pieces are a little behind.
Is it possible to secretly move thousands of soldiers across the bridgehead?
>He think that Ukraine is gonna do a amphibious landing
Same energy
What are Serbs like, are there any among them embarrassed by this pervasive meme of their countrymen fondling Russia, and each being a flat earth tier person?