How likely is an attack by Russian/Belarusian forces from the north to succeed?

How likely is an attack by Russian/Belarusian forces from the north to succeed? Do you think Ukraine is ready for it, should it happen?

  1. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    All roads are mined, all bridges are rigged to explode and the moment Potato Emperor moves army out of Belarus there will be a revolution

  2. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    I'm sure they would do much better the second time around with an inferior force against an enemy that knows they're coming

  3. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    it would be like the 1944 ardennes for hitler, but worse

  4. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    The original invasion had the element of surprise and the “elite” units were as strong as they could be and they got chewed up and spit out back over the border. Now they would have 0 surprise whatsoever, and would have to enter presighted and mined roads with glowie intel and modern artillery. That is a recipe for absolute catastrophe

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      They failed back in march with fresh ""elite"" troops. Some belarusians who don't want to be there alongside some russian conscripts how are somehow worse equipped than the former are not going to pull it off as the country goes through autumn into winter. I'd like them to try though because belarus and russia collapsing themselves simultaneously would be hilarious.

      Also it's not like Ukies aren't expecting it. There plenty soldiers in reserves at Kiev to be deployed immediately if Russian try attacking from that direction again.

  5. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    They failed back in march with fresh ""elite"" troops. Some belarusians who don't want to be there alongside some russian conscripts how are somehow worse equipped than the former are not going to pull it off as the country goes through autumn into winter. I'd like them to try though because belarus and russia collapsing themselves simultaneously would be hilarious.

  6. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >AAAAA IM GONNA INVADE FROM BELARUS AGAIN
    >no you're not
    >nyoro~n
    getting real tired of this song and dance

  7. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Absolutely useless fact, Don Bluth's classic animated film, An American Tail, starts in this very town right here. It's even somewhat misleading labeled as being "Russia" (all of Ukraine being part of the Russian Empire at the time).

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      >happy Hanukkah

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      >all of Ukraine being part of the Russian Empire at the time

      Since the 1654 treaty and until 1945, Ukraine had never been fully under russian control. There were always big parts of it occupied by Poland, Austria, Germany and other countries.

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        Eastern Galicia was also part of the Russian Empire during the 19th Century as was the rest of Poland (minus the German part)

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Don Bluth made that? I thought Spielberg did. Spielberg’s the garden gnome, Bluth is a Mormon.

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        >Don Bluth made that? I thought Spielberg did.

        Bluth directed it, Spielberg was merely one of the producers. It's widely considered one of Bluth's greatest films after the Secret of NIMH

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Probably unrelated, but Shostka was the biggest producer of photo and cinema film in Soviet Union

  8. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Man, it's going to be cool to see something like this but in a Stalker (2) mod or something.

  9. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    How do Belarus's military and interior-security forces matchup in terms of size, power, and tribal affiliation? Would its military be on the side of a democratic revolution, in other words?

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Last time there was trifle, the Russians needed to intervene. Whether they support Luka or not, they're probably outmatched by the general populace. Add to that potential support from Ukraine and you've got one dead Lukashenko.

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        I hope the glowies are working overtime to free Belarus from the deathgrip of rusgolia.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          They probably have more pressing matters at the moment, but the only thing that stopped them before was Russian intervention.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          according to Luka the Poles and now Ukies have been arming exiled opposition to "Bay of Pigs" his ass.

  10. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    do Belarusians even have a stake in this?

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Ordinary Belarusians don't but Lukashenko allowed open borders for the Russian army to try and rush Kiev right at the start so it goes to reason that the Ukrainians + NATO states would want his scalp when this is over

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      They're a Russian puppet. They have more incentives to be as limp as possible.

  11. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    What, did you slip into a coma through February, you dumb fuck?

  12. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    are they really going to wait for ANOTHER muddy season to invade south?

    Holy fuck, they are dumb.

  13. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Eblarus pledged 70k troops. Assuming they can realistically deliver 50k, plus 50k pidors, that's a force Ukraine can't counter without redeploying its own soldiers from other active frontlines.
    It can succeed in distracting.

  14. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    They should go through Chernobyl again.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      https://i.imgur.com/Nmzb15I.png

      Going through Chernobyl again huh?

      >Hotel Chernobyl seaon 2
      I'm so excited!!!

  15. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    The moment Luka joins the war he’s finished. He knows it. Putin especially knows it. Better to have him tie up Ukrainian units as a potential threat than actually get involved and become a liability.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Why would he be finished?

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        Belarus is a powder keg and the only thing preventing regime change is a lot of police and army. If army becomes occupied with fighting in Ukraine you can be sure that glowies will help stir something up

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        Well for one there’s already a Belorussian company fighting in Ukraine… on the side of Ukraine, naturally.

  16. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Unlikely, they're just there to create a potential threat and train under Belarussian officers

  17. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Going through Chernobyl again huh?

  18. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    ... Anon, what do you think happened in late February?

  19. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    ffs Shoigu, don't you have better things to do ?

  20. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    This would be interesting, but only because the TDF have fallen off the PR bandwagon, but have been retrofitting and receiving more hardware and training and are swole AF.
    Sure they're a rag tag bunch of misfits still, but polished to as much of a shine as we have ever seen. It would be really interesting to see.

  21. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    It's not likely to succeed at all which is why I hope those chucklefucks are retarded enough to try again.

  22. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Genuine question for the oinkie supporters: are you guys willing to admit at this point that ((Zelensky)) and his side are on super thin ice and would have capitulated if Globohomo had not propped them up?

    I get that you guys hate Russia. I get that Russia is not some unbeatable enemy and has performed very poorly. I fully acknowledge that mismanagement and cowardice could very well defeat Russia and topple the Putin regime. But can you guys agree that you aren't winning, the September Offensive has stalled, and, barring Globohomos entry into the war, we are at the Ruthenian high water mark? If not, why not?

    For full disclosure, I am an Amerifat, never-served, many guns that is pro Z for purely political reasons. I want Russia to come out on top, but I have no skin in the game, nor do I think Putin is 'muh based czar'. I know there are a whole pile of nazi-larpers on the oinkies side, but I don't care because I am not some commie gay (though it is pretty amusing to see nazi-larpers die to protect a gnomish leader's regime). I am asking this to see if any pro-oinkie voices can make a coherent explanation of how Oinkraine comes out on top, because I just don't see it. Feel free to attack me personally, but it just reinforces my intuition that pro-oinkie is a collection of factions with ulterior political motives and faith in their side, but no actual concrete strategy or reasoning.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      imagine typing all this

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        If you can't answer, that's fine. Tells me more than you could by replying properly.

        >"If ukraine didn't get any help it would have capitulated!"
        Gee Billy from Idaho. Since when Ukraine has claimed to be an autarky?

        You could just answer the question.

        Those are a lot of words. Shame I'm not going to read them.

        See first reply.

        Yes and Russia would have lost to Germany if it wasn't propped up by the Americans. What's your point?

        I don't have a point, I had questions. I asked them. Seems like you answered one, the answer is 'yes'. But the other questions remained unanswered. That's fine.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          You did not have an question. You had moment of stupidy.

          • 2 months ago
            Anonymous

            Yes I did.
            1. Would they have captiulated had globohomo not supported/propped them up
            2. We are at the high water mark for Ukraine's territory grab-back because the offensive as stalled and starting to be pushed back in areas, if this isn't the case, why not
            That's two questions.

            Didn't read, Russia is still losing ground today, that's the reality you have to live sorry.

            You clearly did read because you answered one of the questions. Weird thing to type tbf.

            I genuinely struggle to understand how any human mentally capable of typing a sentence and wiping their own ass, can't also perceive that Russia is losing this war hard.

            Looking at the map it doesn't seem like they're losing anything. Ukraine has lost huge chunks of territory and isn't able to get them back and is now 100% reliant on globohomo to keep them fighting. If that suddenly stops, well, we know what will happen.

            • 2 months ago
              Anonymous

              >1. Would they have captiulated had globohomo not supported/propped them up
              No.
              >2. We are at the high water mark for Ukraine's territory grab-back because the offensive as stalled and starting to be pushed back in areas, if this isn't the case, why not
              No. And because.

              Happy now?

            • 2 months ago
              Anonymous

              >Russia's long series of embarrassing defeats and huge losses of equipment suggest things are about to go well for Russia
              Your opinions are just bad, anon

            • 2 months ago
              Anonymous

              1) Answered by 55652674.
              2) Ukraine has taken a significant amount of land back in recent months. They do so in phases. We are between phases at present. No army with a brain tries to attack continually at the same place.

              it sound as though Zelenskyy needs to personally teabag Putin in the ruins of the Kremlin before you'd acknowledge they're winning.

              • 2 months ago
                Anonymous

                >No army with a brain tries to attack continually at the same place.
                They can if it is a huge overmatch and can pass fresh units through the frontline friendlies. although technically the frontline rotation is a phase/pause.

            • 2 months ago
              Anonymous

              Why shillers always mass reply? they do so even on russian imageboards

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        See

        https://i.imgur.com/4SIEB26.png

        Oh look, it's either you again or a reposter.

        it's a pasta

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      >"If ukraine didn't get any help it would have capitulated!"
      Gee Billy from Idaho. Since when Ukraine has claimed to be an autarky?

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Those are a lot of words. Shame I'm not going to read them.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Yes and Russia would have lost to Germany if it wasn't propped up by the Americans. What's your point?

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Didn't read, Russia is still losing ground today, that's the reality you have to live sorry.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      I genuinely struggle to understand how any human mentally capable of typing a sentence and wiping their own ass, can't also perceive that Russia is losing this war hard.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Post nose.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      You have it the other way around;

      Ukraine didn't capitulate, and as a result globohomo propped them up. Had Zelensky run for the fucking hills, the west result would've been what Putin had aimed for; short term sanctions which he could tank, followed by the informal acceptance of his gains and the inevitable normalization effort.

      When it became clear that Russia stuck its snout in a trap that it couldn't easily rip off, the west capitalized and started with the present economical beatdown session where they are costing Russia 10 dollars for every dollar of investment while operating from an economical base that dwarfs it. In very short order, what would've been yet another humiliation from the strongman Putin, turned into the perfect storm for the west establishment to not only turn around 30 years of continuous losses of credibility, but in the process consign one of their two primary geopolitical adversaries to absolute fucking irrelevancy, if not outright dissolution.

      >"If ukraine didn't get any help it would have capitulated!"
      Gee Billy from Idaho. Since when Ukraine has claimed to be an autarky?

      That is wrong. They would've simply have been stuck fighting around Moscow and the Ural mountains still by the time the allies got to Berlin. It would've ended up in a situation where neither side still had the logistics to actually launch a sustained assault.

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        Globohomo has propped Ukraine up since 2014 with training, funding and equipment. If that hadn't happened or had Putin decided to go for Kiev right then and there, we wouldn't be having this conversation. Kiev would have fallen, globohomo would have panicked and wagged their fingers and Ukraine would be producing tanks, jets, missiles for Russia whilst their oils and gas made bank from dependent EU nations. Simple.

        >1. Would they have captiulated had globohomo not supported/propped them up
        No.
        >2. We are at the high water mark for Ukraine's territory grab-back because the offensive as stalled and starting to be pushed back in areas, if this isn't the case, why not
        No. And because.

        Happy now?

        If you say so.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          ...You are aware that all that gear was on the other side of the fucking country, yes?

          • 2 months ago
            Anonymous

            Doesn't matter. Had that not been there, this would have been over long ago. Hence me asking, reasonably, if globohomo hadn't propped it up, oinkies would have lost by now.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          >muh globohomo

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          Why are globohomo countries comfortable and free, while anti-globohomo are authoritarian shitholes?
          I'll answer your questions if you answer mine.

          • 2 months ago
            Anonymous

            >comfortable and free

            • 2 months ago
              Anonymous

              Can you explain how, for example, Denmark is less comfortable and free than North Korea?

              • 2 months ago
                Anonymous

                Didn't you get the memo anon? Best korea is propped up as a based ethostate now

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          > the world would be different if it were different
          Lol, well, fucking obviously.

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        V. high-quality writing and judgement anon.
        Only possible improvement to quasiperfection is to use colons rather than semicolons as an "introducer."
        t. punctuation-autist proofreader/editor

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      >implying that capitulation by zelensky would be accepted by our people
      >implying he wouldn't get hanged from a tree after pulling this shit
      >implying that anything would've changed
      lol
      t. ukie

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      I don't care about Ukraine. I care about NATO succeeding and Russia failing. Russia has no social, cultural or scientific value to add to the human race. It's a dead end, the mafia state must be destroyed just as the soviet state was destroyed before it. However this time the destruction has to be complete and the nation and its people rehabilitated totally.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      >((Zelensky)) and his side are on super thin ice and would have capitulated if Globohomo had not propped them up?
      Ukraine resisted Russia with only US/UK advisors who trained them for the last four years. The advisors all left Ukraine before the invasion.

      The counteroffensive would have been impossible without foreign supplies and arms. But the defense was all Ukraine.

      Zelensky is not on thin ice other than being a nation at war.

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        The Ukrainian economy is on emergency life support and needs like tens of billlions to function due to the Black Sea Ports being occupied. It absolutely is being propped up by the West or "Globohomo" as the Vatniks call it.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          >due to the Black Sea Ports being occupied
          Russia didn't capture a single black sea port during this war.

          • 2 months ago
            Anonymous

            Kherson is a Black Sea port and is the gateway to the Dnieper, where goods get delivered all over Ukraine.

            • 2 months ago
              Anonymous

              Not a black sea port. It's on the river.

              • 2 months ago
                Anonymous

                By that logic, Rotterdam isn't a North Sea port.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous
    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      I lost my belief in PrepHole after the war started. I perfectly understand US and NATO policy to weaken Russia no matter the means but having PrepHole actively shill for them when it only makes their own lives worse always made little to no sense to me. I understand most of PrepHole right now is paid shills but I only assume a big portion is also useful idiots. Anyway, thanks for restoring a little of my faith in PrepHole, poster

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        I wish I could be paid. People say 'it's all paid shills' where the fuck is this job? I am sick of you cunts saying this but you never show the proof that these jobs exist. No, going
        >Oh this is a 'media manager job so that means shill posting'
        No, give me 'post on PrepHole and be paid'.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          this , idiots are the large majority, everywhere
          bots i would believe but paid shill , cmon..

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      >IF ONLY

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Ain't the west's fault Russia prepared for a 3-day policing action that fell apart at the first shot fired against Russian soldiers

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      >I wouldn't be an handheld-less virgin if girls didn't hate my guts
      Baseless hypotheticals are a waste of time.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      for which political reasons?
      US is pretty gay but russia is a complete shithole and has always been, at least after the mongol invasion.
      gg supporting the AIDS capital of the world, contrarian retard.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Oh look, it's either you again or a reposter.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Because for my childhood and teen years fucking Russia had ICBMs aimed at me and my polish and uke ancestors got murdered by those Asiatic snow morons.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      good pasta, good bait

      • 2 months ago
        Anonymous

        That is a watermelon, not a pasta. U r doofus.

        • 2 months ago
          Anonymous

          dont call be a doofus

          • 2 months ago
            Anonymous

            oki i'm sorry

  23. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    extremely unlikely. that area is occupied by low tier territorial defense units

  24. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >lets just try the Chernihiv axis again

    the fuck is this, Blackadder?

  25. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >How likely is an attack by Russian
    Very likely I think. They've been moving into position and they're having a bad enough time elsewhere that I trying to divert Ukranian attention away from the south east might be very useful.
    >Belarusian
    It's possible, but I'd suspect only if Putin has managed to pressure Luka somehow. Potatoman seems perfectly happy sitting on the sidelines and betting on multiple horses.
    >Do you think Ukraine is ready for it, should it happen?
    Yes. They've had time to prepare and likely expected it for some time, especially since Russian movements into Belarus haven't exactly gone unnoticed. It's also a case of more troops than the last time, but with worse gear and training. That said, they might be better logistically prepared than the first time as one of the reasons they ran out of fuel was soldiers selling excess fuel because they didn't know they were about to invade a country. They might also have more men to cover their armoured vehicles, but again, whether they're able to actually capitalize on that is in question.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      Oh yeah, addendum, this time there might actually be a case of it being a "feint" of sorts. A distraction maneuvre.

  26. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >How likely is the 2nd Kiev feint
    Likely

    >How likely to succeed?
    Was not the previous feint considered a success?

  27. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >Russian/Belarusian forces from the north to succeed?
    Belarussian unit in ukraine is already getting calls from mobilized belarussians on how to surrender.

  28. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >globohomo is arming nationalists and neonazis defending their borders against foreign invaders
    >left wingers see this as a victory for them, publically repeating a nazi collaborator catch phrase
    >likely to get another conservative, proudly Christian country in the EU
    >Sweden and Italy have swung right
    >birth place of communism is continuously getting BTFO
    How are we losing again?

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      The retards who think the acceleration cope is the only way to win are the ones who think we are losing

  29. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >belarus crosses the border and gets btfo in the first engagement
    >becomes aligned with the west two weeks later under new management

  30. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    unlikely
    Vatnigs never cared for Kiev , first month was an attempt at pressuring them to surrender.
    Novorossiya is the true goal,
    they will probably settle for half of it by occupation since everything is bogged down.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      didn't care but sent first line combat units to be munched by TDF... yeah, the feint.

  31. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    They've been building up defenses and training for months. The attack will be repelled better than before.

  32. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    i would expect only arty spam for the whole winter

  33. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    very likely to claim the banan

  34. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Ukies have kept a large force of TDF and Nat'l Guard up there even after the Kyiv Feint- just now they're Mechanized.

  35. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    It depends on how there manpower situation has changed. There are a thousand variables. But it does seem like they are concentrating their forces in the North for that reason.

  36. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Very unlikely. I'm almost 100% certain that Russians are there just for the training as most of their training stuff is already dead in Ukraine. Belarussians train new Russian recruits + create an illusion of a possible invasion from there. In reality Luka would sooner invade Russian than Ukraine.

  37. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Its a gay distraction effort Belarus just hand it over basically all of its modern text to Russia which were then taken out of the North and headed to the Donbass

  38. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    You need around 1.5 million troops to take and hold Kyiv. Good luck lmao

  39. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    >How likely is an attack by Russian/Belarusian forces from the north to succeed?
    It would almost certainly succeed in tripling the Russian daily death count and bring me much joy and laughter at new PrepHole memes.

  40. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    beefin up

  41. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    le femmes

  42. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    God I HOPE Putin gets stuck on "KEEP ATTACKING KYIV!" this time, wasting precious manpower on trying to get through.

    • 2 months ago
      Anonymous

      they will retake the east like last time

  43. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    Literally 0. Everything mined and there are reserves kept in Kyiv just in case.
    Lets talk about chad lukashenko instead
    >Gets told by Putin to mobilize and help out
    >Mobilizes people for potato harvest instead

  44. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    I think the Russians will be massacred if they try it.

    So they should totally try it.

  45. 2 months ago
    Anonymous

    china IS evacuating from ukr popcorn could pop soon

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