I have gone through all the nations that are seeing more births than Japan and included the EU.
All data comes from wikipedia, which in turn uses reputable sources.
There is some missing data (which I filled in with an estimate in blue)
There are some missing countries, where I took a look at the population distribution of the last census and based on it made a judgement if the number of births was still rising or not.
Basically there is no significant country left that is seeing more births this year than say 5 years ago.
I would not want to take a bet that the number of births in Nigeria will be greater in 2022 than in 2017 looking at the global data.
It seems that Kenya, South Africa, Ethiopia, Tanzania and Angola have all reached peak births already and are either declining or stagnating.
India published numbers that for the first time ever show a steep decline.
The middle east is in a clear decline, ranging from Algeria, Egypt, Turkey and Iran.
China is having a rapid collapse in births.
Latin America is having a rapid collapse in births. See Brazil and Mexico, but also Argentina and Colombia not pictured here are seeing rapid declines.
There is no babyboom in the west, Russia or Japan.
It's a total crash.
2016 saw peak babies worldwide.
100%
That's a huge and fast crash. Thank you for sharing.
It's BLACK.
cause the old order led by the US has come to an end and it doesn't make the world run as before.
Just wait reshuffle and people will start to have more babies.
I will predict in the future there will have a food crisis or global economic crisis so few babies are based, and only capitalists are seething because it will bring less powerful consumers to keep the capitalism run normally
As you have been told, the future is deflationary.
Fricking good news
>Congo, Sudan, Uganda
Yeah those 3 nations with a population of less than 200M combined wont pop out enough to counter this.
UN is DEAD WRONG!
Forget about this stuff, they are comically wrong.
South Africa, Kenya, Tanzania, Angola and Ethiopia are already stagnating. That's about 1/3rd of sub saharan africa right there.
Nigeria may be stagnating too.
SS africa will probably peak at 1.5B on this chart and the declines elsewhere will be more rapid.
Yes there are some good spots. White people being born as a % of global population is definitely back on the rise since 2016.
Even inside the US, % of births to white mothers is rising.
>UN is DEAD WRONG!
>Forget about this stuff, they are comically wrong.
>South Africa, Kenya, Tanzania, Angola and Ethiopia are already stagnating.
Agreed. Looking at Ethiopian fertility rate you can see that they lose about 0.1 children per year. By 2040 they'll be below replacement level.
50 years ago India had a fertility rate of 6 kids per woman but now they're below replacement. These birth collapses happen fast.
If you look at India, which arguably has the most homogeneous population pyramid in the world, you can see that they reached a plateau of 27 million births per year as soon as their fertility dropped to 3.5.
That is because the fertility goes in a decline every year whilst the number of parents still go up due to the rise in births 25 years prior.
These two things cancel eachother out.
>2000: 16M parents, 3.5 fertility, 27M kids
>2019: 27M parents, 2.0 fertility, 27M kids
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_India
>they reached a plateau of 27 million births per year as soon as their fertility dropped to 3.5.
>That is because the fertility goes in a decline every year whilst the number of parents still go up due to the rise in births 25 years prior.
>These two things cancel eachother out
I didn't think about that, thanks for telling me. Very interesting data.
So we could be seeing population growth peaks even earlier then anticipated in developing countries.
About 430 million women have been born in Afrika in the last 25 years, easily doubling fertile women since that time. So far TFR has dropped 1.3 in these 25 years, from 5.7 tot 4.4. If it keeps dropping at that rate it would be 3.1 in another 25 years. Call me crazy, but that would indicate these 430 milion women will produce at least 600 million new women, likely more, and their fertile periods will overlap too.
DEATH TO AFRICA
This should be good news, but it isn't
They keep breeding but they have no means or clue on how to feed that population.
This is all eugenics and part of the kalergie plan... Soros, bill gates, the Rothschilds and whoever have been using their 'philanthropy' to make a genetic bomb out of Africa. They could have raised Africa's average IQ 10 points in the last 40 years and made them self reliant for food with infrastructure and education, instead they made them largely dependant on foreign food while keeping them ignorant as hell and making sure they are breeding.
Interesting, thanks.
Africans can't work. Not in a modern, industrial context.
African countries will reach a tipping point when the rest of the world decide to not to feed them anymore.
Those are scenarios not actual data.
They take a current trend and just project it onto the future.
They do this pretty much everywhere. Midwits can't think outside of the box. This is why bubbles happen, it's why revolutions happen, wars, famines, etc.
That's assuming continued growth, which hasn't happened anywhere else
Good, we're too many.
1 billion, no more.
It's good news, this is a natural reaction to the overpopulation we see in many parts of the world. Property and land are too expensive because everything is owned by someone. Fewer people means smaller government, means more forests, means more free space, means less traffic. For continental Europe this is a plus (my geographic perspective).
The problem lies in the forecasts of Africa, which will grow by billions in the next decades. Luckily they won't likely develop any aggressive superpowers akin to Russia, USA or China.
Either way locally depopulation is good.
>The problem lies in the forecasts of Africa, which will grow by billions in the next decades.
Again. The forecasts of the UN comically failed to predict this recent drop off and the graphs we all know of 10B+ population by 2100 etc are all based on growth in births between 2016-2021, which the data shows is not happening.
Instead there is the largest drop off in global births in at least 200 years.
>Global population collapse
Just checked in EU and it looks better (albeit the default rates were garbage..)
Sweden, more or less normal numbers
Germany, slight increase
Poland, fertility drop
France, fertility drop
There is a difference between pre-industry society and post-industry society.
High birth rate appears in pre-industry society.
Pre-industry society is very stable toward inside problem, but once they start industrilization, civil war and famine can happen.
Pre-industry society is quite weak against outside problems, a war or a increasing of food price in other countries can destory result of birth of 20 years.
we are also going into a cycle of global cooling.
I frickin hope so, I’m getting tired of 9 months of 90°F weather a year here in Texas
Good, less competitors for my progeny
>progeny
>Singular
Do you really only have one kid kek? I have 3 with my wife pregnant with our 4th. You need more kids bro.
progeny implies plurality
That's progenies, progeny is singular.
Progeny still implies plurality.
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/progeny
Progeny means descendants. Even with multiple children, you can talk about your progeny referring to all of them. Progenies would get used like how peoples gets used, meaning that progenies would like refer to the progeny of multiple people.
Explain like I'm moronic why a 13% change in highly selective data that also makes assumptions where data is incomplete should convince anybody of anything
People are starting to realize that all the economy is unbalanced because of the pop explosion in the 60's 70's, its very clear we cannot support a high living standard for so many people, most are coming to the conclusion that if they cannot give their children half or more than half of what their parents gave them there is no point on having them
Good, most "people" are fricking trash.
Uh .....guys? Could this be the depopulation everyone was talking about?
Dude... you're missing the important countries as pertains to births
>nigeria
>pakistan
>indonesia
>Big sub-saharan nations like DRC and Ethiopia
Africa is still growing with 30 million+ per year, even when peak births would be reached (most Africans are not fertile yet) it would take a long time for that to kick in. Africa has yet to have its race between girls reaching fertility and dropping birth rates.
This is why immigration to stabilize populations is a dumbfrick idea. World pop will peak in 30 years, you're just kicking the can down the road.
Mouse Utopia
Human population will decline by 90 % by itself and ~~*elites*~~ are a bunch of morons that couldn't figure that out.
The only outliner to this rule is Africa, but their population will decline because of lack of food from West when their populations collapse, not because of social reasons as in that utopia experiment.
>I would not want to take a bet that the number of births in Nigeria will be greater in 2022 than in 2017 looking at the global data.
Bold claim. Your list does not include any chaotic African countries like Congo or Somalia, Nigeria would be a very useful indicator. Kenya, Algeria and South Africa can be dismissed as too developed or insufficiently Bantu.
https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/531414-how-insecurity-heightens-neglect-of-contraceptives-among-nigerian-women.html
yeah, I've been trying to figure out what the allegedly reduced access to contraceptives has been doing in these countries, but there is very poor monitoring of what's actually happening on the timescale we're talking about.
>Spics and huehues are in absolute decline
Good news, nobody liked those moronic subhumans
The meek (the religious) will inherit the earth.